Match Info
Serie D - Group I - Round 32Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday
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Castrumfavara |
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Gela |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.65 |
3.45 |
4.65 |
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 |
1.65 |
3.55 |
4.44 |
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1.65 |
3.64 |
4.69 |
 Watch |
 |
1.65 |
3.25 |
4.8 |
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1.6 |
3.55 |
5.14 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(2.44) |
3.49 ↑
(3.13) |
4.74 ↑
(2.64) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castrumfavara
55.1% | Draw
25.9% | Gela
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrumfavara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castrumfavara's performance.Gela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (-17.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castrumfavara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gela than the current prediction. (+14.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Castrumfavara - Gela Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 75', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 9).Castrumfavara is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Gela's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, Castrumfavara is seen as the favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castrumfavara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 14 | Castrumfavara | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Gela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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