Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 15

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Gelbison Cilento		Picerno

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.16	2.9	3.3
	2.32	2.75	3.05
	2.36	2.88	3.19
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.3	2.96	3.13	Watch
	2.33	2.9	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.94)	2.87 ↓ (3.04)	3.17 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gelbison Cilento
40%

Draw
31.5%

Picerno
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

29.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

32.2%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gelbison Cilento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gelbison Cilento's form might have worsened.

Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gelbison Cilento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Picerno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Gelbison Cilento - Picerno Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gelbison Cilento will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gelbison Cilento: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Gelbison Cilento will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gelbison Cilento won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Gelbison Cilento won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Italian Serie C Group C
20.11.22	Catanzaro - Gelbison Cilento	3:0 ✺
13.11.22	Gelbison Cilento - Turris	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Pescara - Gelbison Cilento	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Gelbison Cilento - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Giugliano - Gelbison Cilento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLTT
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
20.11.22	Picerno - Avellino	2:1 ✺
13.11.22	Audace Cerignola - Picerno	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Picerno - Taranto	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Crotone - Picerno	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Picerno - Viterbese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
20.03.19	Picerno - Gelbison Cilento	2:1
14.11.18	Gelbison Cilento - Picerno	1:1
26.02.17	Gelbison Cilento - Picerno	0:1
23.10.16	Picerno - Gelbison Cilento	3:4

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