Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ezio Scida (Crotone)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Arena


	Crotone		Picerno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.7	5.25
	1.55	3.9	5.3
	1.52	4.21	6.3
	1.00	14.71	25.00	Watch
	1.57	3.72	5.21	Watch
	1.55	3.85	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 (1.45)	5.68 ↑ (4.2)	8.71 ↑ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
70.3%

Draw
18%

Picerno
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

21.8%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

21%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crotone's performance.

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Crotone - Picerno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Merelli D. (G) 28. Andreoni C. 20. Berra F. 6. Di Pasquale D. 25. Guerra W. 96. Zunno M. 7. Vinicius 16. Gallo A. 27. Maggio M. 9. Gomez G. (C) 11. Murano J.	1. Summa E. (G) 21. Salvo G. 4. Frison F. 23. Granata A. 63. Pistolesi F. 30. Bianchi S. 34. Maselli S. 33. Bocic M. 7. Energe A. 11. Esposito E. 90. Abreu L.
Substitutes
80. Bruno K. 72. Cocetta N. 23. Groppelli F. 2. Leo D. 19. Marazzotti F. 33. Perlingieri M. 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 18. Piovanello E. 61. Sala A. (G) 8. Stronati R. 77. Vrenna M.	77. Cardoni K. 22. Cortese S. (G) 25. Djibril M. 12. Esposito A. (G) 8. Graziani V. 6. Marino A. 2. Perri M. 19. Santaniello E. 9. Santarcangelo A. 5. Veltri A. 14. Vimercati A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', Granata A. ↓, Marino A. ↑,
29', 1 - 0, Zunno M. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Gomez G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Esposito E. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
55', Di Pasquale D. ↓, Cocetta N. ↑,
63', Gomez G. 🟨,
68', Gomez G. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
68', Abreu L. ↓, Santaniello E. ↑,
69', Pistolesi F. ↓, Cardoni K. ↑,
74', Zunno M. ↓, Perlingieri M. ↑,
74', Gallo A. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Murano J. ⚽,
81', Maselli S. ↓, Graziani V. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Crotone is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Crotone won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
28.09.25	Crotone - Casertana	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Atalanta U23 - Crotone	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Crotone - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Potenza - Crotone	3:3 ✺
07.09.25	Crotone - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWTT
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
29.09.25	Picerno - Foggia	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Picerno - Benevento	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Potenza - Picerno	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Picerno - Casarano	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Latina - Picerno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
27.01.25	Crotone - Picerno	0:0
22.09.24	Picerno - Crotone	5:2
Italian Serie C Group A
07.05.24	Picerno - Crotone	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
15.02.24	Picerno - Crotone	0:0
08.10.23	Crotone - Picerno	2:1
04.03.23	Picerno - Crotone	1:1
30.10.22	Crotone - Picerno	1:0

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