Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Gelbison Cilento		Igea Virtus Barcellona

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.98	2.72
	2.5	3.05	2.74	Watch
	2.45	2.99	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.42)	3.01 ↓ (3.08)	2.72 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gelbison Cilento
36.7%

Draw
30.1%

Igea Virtus Barcellona
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

29.3%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

28.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gelbison Cilento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Igea Virtus Barcellona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Gelbison Cilento - Igea Virtus Barcellona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 0 - 1, Calafiore C. ⚽,
75', 1 - 1, Cascio F. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Gelbison Cilento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gelbison Cilento won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Gelbison Cilento won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Igea Virtus	6	3	2	1	14:11	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
15.03.26	Savoia - Gelbison Cilento	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Gelbison Cilento - Vigor Lamezia	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Vibonese - Gelbison Cilento	0:4 ✺
15.02.26	Gelbison Cilento - Ragusa	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Gelbison Cilento - Castrumfavara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTWWW
- ASD Igea Virtus Barcellona
Italian Serie D - Group I
01.03.26	Nissa - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Sambiase - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Gela	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Enna - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Athletic Palermo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
09.11.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Gelbison Cilento	1:1
18.03.18	Gelbison Cilento - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:1
01.11.17	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Gelbison Cilento	3:0

Gelbison Cilento - Igea Virtus Barcellona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide