The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vigor Lamezia 34%
Draw 28.3%
Gelbison Cilento 37.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
29%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
28.9%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vigor Lamezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Gelbison Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gelbison Cilento's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vigor Lamezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gelbison Cilento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vigor Lamezia - Gelbison Cilento Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Piazza A. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Cantoro T. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Lagzir S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 2, Diop M. ⚽,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Vigor Lamezia is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Gelbison Cilento has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Vigor Lamezia has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 0.7:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vigor Lamezia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).