The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gençlerbirliği 35.3%
Draw 28.7%
Alanyaspor 35.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.9%
28%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
28.6%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gençlerbirliği has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Gençlerbirliği - Alanyaspor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th in the Relegation - 1. Lig and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 3.
Gençlerbirliği has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Alanyaspor has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Gençlerbirliği has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:13 (averaging 0.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gençlerbirliği against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Alanyaspor
9
3
3
3
9:11
-2
12
16
Genclerbirligi
9
2
2
5
7:18
-11
8
Outrights of Turkish Super League for now
Alanyaspor: 0.54% Genclerbirligi: 0.35%
Last Results with these Odds
Gençlerbirliği - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.95%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.