Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: Simovic N. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Genk		Servette

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6	Watch
	1.49	4.4	5.25
	1.52	4.4	5.6
	1.56	4.33	5.5
	1.52	4.58	6.18
	1.44	4.2	5
	1.52	4.55	5.55	Watch
	1.56	4.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.65)	4.41 ↑ (3.92)	5.59 ↑ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk
62%

Draw
21.3%

Servette
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

23.9%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

24.8%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Genk's performance.

Servette has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Servette than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	5.4%	1.8%

Genk - Servette Predictions

Users Predictions: Genk will win (52 of 56 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.12% – 99.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 23. Munoz D. 2. McKenzie M. 46. Cuesta C. 18. Kayembe J. 28. Paintsil J. 17. Hrosovsky P. 8. Heynen B. (C) 11. Tresor Ndayishimiye M. 34. El Khannouss B. 99. Arokodare T.	32. Frick J. (C) 33. Vouilloz N. 4. Rouiller S. 19. Severin Y. 18. Mazikou B. 10. Antunes A. 8. Cognat T. 28. Douline D. 17. Kutesa D. 29. Bedia C. 27. Crivelli E.
Substitutes
19. Ait El Hadj A. 5. Arteaga G. 90. Baah C. 7. Fadera A. 25. Galarza M. A. 72. Kongolo J. 4. Ouattara Mohammed A. 24. Oyen L. 77. Preciado A. 3. Sadick M. 14. Sor Y. 1. Van Crombrugge H. (G)	6. Baron A. 44. Besson L. (G) 30. Diba S. 11. Fofana B. 21. Guillemenot J. 26. Henchoz N. 12. Kaloga I. 1. Mall J. (G) 5. Ondoua G. 7. Pflucke P. 23. Rodelin R. 45. Touati H.
Coaches
Vrancken W.	Weiler R.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Recent matches Genk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Servette is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Genk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Genk have a series of guest games.

Recently Servette have a series of home games.

In this match Genk is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Genk won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.07.23	RWDM Brussels - Genk	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.07.23	Servette - Genk	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Genk - Burnley	2:0 ✺
19.07.23	Sporting Lisbon - Genk	1:1 ✺
12.07.23	PAOK - Genk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWTL
- Servette FC
Swiss Super League
29.07.23	Servette - Zürich	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.07.23	Servette - Genk	1:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
22.07.23	Grasshoppers - Servette	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.23	Servette - Rapperswil-Jona	5:2 ✺
07.07.23	Servette - Cercle Brugge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
25.07.23	Servette - Genk	1:1

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