The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
KV Mechelen 25.3%
Draw 25.4%
Genk 49.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.7%
25.2%
48.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.5%
25.1%
48.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
0%
87.5%
KV Mechelen - Genk Predictions
Users Predictions:
Genk will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 15th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Mechelen could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Mechelen has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Genk is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Mechelen: Ayodele S.
(Knee Injury)
Hjelde L. F.
(Leg Injury)
Salifou D.
(Knee Injury)
St. Jago T.
(Muscle Injury)
Struyf I.
(Muscle Injury)
Vanrafelghem K.
(Ankle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Genk: Heymans D.
(Red Card)
Sarfo E.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mechelen has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:41 (averaging 1.1:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mechelen against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:14 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Genk
9
4
3
2
18:13
5
15
15
KV Mechelen
8
1
3
4
9:17
-8
6
Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now
Genk: 5.38% KV Mechelen: 0.51%
Last Results with these Odds
KV Mechelen - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 26.74%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Genk - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 48.1%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
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