Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 14

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent)

Referee: de Beuckelaer A. (Bel)


	Gent U23		Genk U23

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	4.33	Watch
	1.65	3.95	4.45
	1.96	3.79	3.38	Watch
	1.66	3.95	4.73
	1.69	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.96)	3.88 ↑ (3.79)	4.18 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent U23
54%

Draw
23.9%

Genk U23
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

24.7%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

24.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gent U23's performance.

Genk U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Genk U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent U23 than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gent U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gent U23 - Genk U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Gent U23 will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Peersman K. (G) 54. Vernemmen H. (C) 26. Lagae B. 35. De Meyer G. 38. Soumah M. 61. Abdullahi A. 67. Soroka O. 62. Asselman W. 73. Donny Sylla A. 79. Vydysh R. 59. Seck E. H.	28. Brughmans L. (G) 2. Pierre K. 22. Manguelle B. 73. Mbavu E. 56. De Wannemacker A. (C) 86. Haroun K. 87. Yasuda K. 67. Camara A. 65. Akpan C. 11. Oyen L. 23. Bibout A.
Substitutes
60. Buggea S. 72. Chaidron A. 51. De Coninck V. (G) 58. Djamba Shango J. 65. Morel B. 50. Vanden Borre R. (G) 77. Vanderdonck G. 66. Vidarsson V.	74. Alvarez Fernandez L. 62. Cauwel M. 66. Coenen J. 70. Decresson L. 53. Mocsnik M. 79. Nzoko D. 80. Toure S. 82. Vliegen O. (G)
Coaches
Matton T.	Van Rumst J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Yasuda K. 🟨,
37', Asselman W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Soumah M. 🟨,
57', Donny Sylla A. ↓, Vanderdonck G. ↑,
60', Yasuda K. ↓, Decresson L. ↑,
60', Camara A. ↓, Nzoko D. ↑,
77', 🟨,
79', Pierre K. 🟨,
80', Bibout A. ↓, Coenen J. ↑,
80', De Wannemacker A. ↓, Mocsnik M. ↑,
80', Vydysh R. ↓, Buggea S. ↑,
87', Haroun K. ↓, Cauwel M. ↑,
87', Asselman W. ↓, Vidarsson V. ↑,
90', Lagae B. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 13).

Gent U23 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Genk U23 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Gent U23 is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
07.11.25	RFC Liège - Gent U23	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Gent U23 - Eupen	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Francs Borains - Gent U23	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Gent U23 - Kortrijk	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Brugge U23 - Gent U23	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLLW
- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.11.25	RWDM Brussels - Genk U23	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Eupen - Genk U23	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Genk U23 - Francs Borains	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	RFC Liège - Genk U23	5:0 ✺
26.09.25	Genk U23 - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWLL

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