Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 7

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent)

Referee: Clerkx K. (Bel)


	Gent U23		Lierse

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.5	Watch
	1.95	3.55	3.45
	1.95	3.45	3.74	Watch
	1.98	3.46	3.47
	2.25	3.33	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.52)	3.46 ↓ (3.54)	3.41 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent U23
45.9%

Draw
26.9%

Lierse
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

25%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gent U23's performance.

Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lierse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent U23 than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gent U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lierse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Gent U23 - Lierse Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gent U23 will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Lierse will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent U23: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent U23 (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Lierse (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Gent U23 (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lierse (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent U23 (votes: 3 - 50%). Lierse (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Peersman K. (G) 26. Lagae B. 38. Soumah M. (C) 27. De Vlieger T. 35. De Meyer G. 67. Soroka O. 62. Asselman W. 39. Ayinde A. 78. Mukuna D. 79. Vydysh R. 59. Seck E. H.	61. Vroman K. (G) 6. Matuta E. 21. De Kerf B. 4. Vanderhallen S. 14. De Buyser W. 29. Sy M. 8. Daguin V. 36. Asare D. 22. Van Meirvenne C. 48. Gboua Y. 9. Adinany B.
Substitutes
71. Blondeel P. 60. Buggea S. 56. Diallo M. 70. Mazouz J. 16. Sylla A. D. 50. Vanden Borre R. (G) 77. Vanderdonck G. 80. Van Hoorick B. 66. Vidarsson V.	17. Demuynck D. 1. De Smet J. (G) 58. De Vos V. 11. El Touile S. 94. Lenaerts M. 77. Masaki H. 3. Mayoka-Tika N. 66. Mertens J. 2. Perdichizzi P. 32. Van Clemen W. (G)
Coaches
Matton T.	Shoffner J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Ayinde A. 🟨,
59', Van Meirvenne C. ↓, Demuynck D. ↑,
65', Soumah M. 🟨,
73', Mukuna D. ↓, Mazouz J. ↑,
73', Gboua Y. ↓, Mayoka-Tika N. ↑,
73', Sy M. ↓, Mertens J. ↑,
75', Asselman W. 🟨,
83', Mayoka-Tika N. 🟨,
84', Mertens J. 🟨,
84', Vydysh R. ↓, Vanderdonck G. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gent U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
20.09.25	Seraing - Gent U23	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Beveren - Gent U23	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Gent U23 - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Gent U23 - Anderlecht U23	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Gent U23	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTLW
- Lierse Kempenzonen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
19.09.25	Lierse - RWDM Brussels	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Lokeren - Lierse	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Lierse	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Lierse - Eupen	3:2 ✺
16.08.25	Kortrijk - Lierse	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLWL

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