The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gent U23 45%
Draw 26.9%
Seraing 28.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.1%
25%
36.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
24.3%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gent U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gent U23's performance.
Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seraing might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent U23 than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gent U23 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seraing could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gent U23 - Seraing Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Peersman K. (G) 18. Samoise M. 39. Ayinde A. 56. Diallo M. 35. De Meyer G. 61. Abdullahi A. 28. El Adfaoui M. 67. Soroka O. (C) 77. Vanderdonck G. 73. Sylla A. D. 74. Kongolo T.
1. Gillekens N. (C) 31. Gregoire L. 5. Corneillie V. 15. Diop M. 3. Kebe O. 20. Tunkadi A. 7. Namri A. 22. Scarpinati M. 14. Mabani F. 27. Messoussa A. 24. Lockman T.
Substitutes
71. Blondeel P. 51. De Coninck V. (G) 58. Djamba Shango J. 64. Laghmich N. 95. Mohammed Y. 97. Toure S. 63. Umolu J. 79. Vydysh R. 82. Wisdom D.
25. Aamer R. 36. Bisevac A. 4. Bisevac R. 19. Bouchentouf N. 21. Di Crescenzo V. 10. Faye S. 16. Jean-Baptiste R. (G) 23. Lawson Y. 18. Roox M.
Coaches
Matton T.
Mercier A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Messoussa A. ⚽,
18', Corneillie V. 🟨,
20', 1 - 1, Ayinde A. ⚽, Samoise M. (A),
26', 1 - 2, Lockman T. ⚽, Messoussa A. (A),
30', Abdullahi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Namri A. 🟨,
64', Diallo M. ↓, Blondeel P. ↑,
64', Ayinde A. ↓, Umolu J. ↑,
64', Sylla A. D. ↓, Wisdom D. ↑,
64', Lockman T. ↓, Di Crescenzo V. ↑,
65', Kongolo T. 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Wisdom D. ⚽,
75', Tunkadi A. ↓, Bouchentouf N. ↑,
77', El Adfaoui M. ↓, Djamba Shango J. ↑,
79', Umolu J. 🟨,
84', Mabani F. ↓, Lawson Y. ↑,
84', Namri A. ↓, Aamer R. ↑,
87', Soroka O. ↓, Vydysh R. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Umolu J. ⚽,
90+1', Diop M. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 14th in the Relegation).
Gent U23 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Seraing has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Gent U23 has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:1 (averaging 2.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gent U23 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.