Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 17

Date: 23 December 2024, Monday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Kursad Filiz M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, beIN Sports 2


	Gençlerbirliği		Adanaspor

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.45	4.33	7	Watch
	1.47	4.21	7.12
	1.49	4.03	6.89	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6
	1.47	4.05	6.45
	1.45	4.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)	4.11 ↓ (4.25)	6.62 ↓ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gençlerbirliği
63.4%

Draw
22.6%

Adanaspor
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

21.9%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

20.6%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gençlerbirliği has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The chances for Adanaspor have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Gençlerbirliği - Adanaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Gençlerbirliği will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Erenturk E. (G) 12. Berber O. 24. Babacan A. 15. Zuzek Z. 91. Durmaz E. 5. Etebo P. 89. Amilton (C) 14. Nalepa M. 20. Okyar M. 7. Mimaroglu M. 2. Djitte M.	87. Celikay K. (G) 61. Katipoglu F. 22. Kurucuk F. (C) 12. Donkor I. 26. Yildirim M. 23. Alpsoy H. 47. Yepie Yepie S. 14. Innocent B. 28. Diakite C. 20. Ciss A. 9. Tapsoba A.
Substitutes
19. Altiparmak G. 6. Cagiran B. 10. Demir M. 11. Fedai C. 25. Islamoglu U. 61. Kemaloglu E. 8. Onur S. 13. Ozdemir O. (G) 88. Uzum F. 9. Yatabare M.	17. Altunbas M. 4. Aytekin H. 8. Dabo A. 7. Emeksiz D. 64. Guzelbay C. 19. Midilic Y. 90. Mollaoglu M. 6. Senyurt D. 77. Tuzun B. 1. Yilmaz J. (G)
Coaches
Karatepe R.	Simsek Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Yildirim M. ⚽, Alpsoy H. (A),
28', Celikay K. ↓, Yilmaz J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Okyar M. ↓, Onur S. ↑,
61', Katipoglu F. ↓, Altunbas M. ↑,
62', Innocent B. 🟨,
64', Amilton 🟨,
65', Durmaz E. ↓, Altiparmak G. ↑,
65', Djitte M. ↓, Fedai C. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Altunbas M. ⚽,
71', Etebo P. 🟨,
72', Alpsoy H. 🟨,
76', Yilmaz J. 🟨,
77', Nalepa M. ↓, Cagiran B. ↑,
80', Diakite C. 🟨,
83', Tapsoba A. ↓, Dabo A. ↑,
83', Diakite C. ↓, Guzelbay C. ↑,
87', Etebo P. ↓, Yatabare M. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 1.

Recent matches Gençlerbirliği is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Adanaspor is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Adanaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gençlerbirliği is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:8 (average 0.7:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Gençlerbirliği won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish Cup
19.12.24	Gençlerbirliği - Kasımpaşa	0:1 ✺
Turkish First League
15.12.24	Bandırmaspor - Gençlerbirliği	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Gençlerbirliği - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.24	Gençlerbirliği - Kutahyaspor	1:0 ET ✺
Turkish First League
01.12.24	Umraniyespor - Gençlerbirliği	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTWWT
- Adanaspor
Turkish First League
07.12.24	Erzurumspor - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
29.11.24	Kocaelispor - Adanaspor	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Adanaspor - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	İstanbulspor - Adanaspor	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Adanaspor - Bandırmaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
07.04.24	Gençlerbirliği - Adanaspor	1:1
10.11.23	Adanaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:2
24.10.22	Adanaspor - Gençlerbirliği	2:1
17.01.22	Gençlerbirliği - Adanaspor	0:3
21.08.21	Adanaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:0
17.03.19	Adanaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:1
20.10.18	Gençlerbirliği - Adanaspor	0:0

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