Match Info

Date: 19 December 2021, Sunday


	Gençlerbirliği		Menemenspor

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.33
	1.65	3.65	4.25	Watch
	1.72	3.4	4.2
	1.76	3.9	4.48
	1.78	3.25	4.2
	1.74	3.54	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.92)	3.56 ↑ (3.43)	4.32 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gençlerbirliği
53.2%

Draw
25.7%

Menemenspor
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

26.4%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

18%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gençlerbirliği's performance.

Menemenspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Menemenspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gençlerbirliği that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Menemenspor than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Menemenspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gençlerbirliği - Menemenspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 13).

Recent matches Gençlerbirliği is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Menemenspor is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Menemenspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gençlerbirliği will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gençlerbirliği won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gençlerbirliği won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish First League
14.12.21	Erzurumspor - Gençlerbirliği	2:0 ✺
10.12.21	Gençlerbirliği - Denizlispor	1:0 ✺
04.12.21	Bandırmaspor - Gençlerbirliği	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.11.21	Gençlerbirliği - Mardin 1969	1:2 penalties ✺
Turkish First League
26.11.21	Gençlerbirliği - Bursaspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWLW
- Menemenspor
Turkish First League
15.12.21	Menemenspor - Denizlispor	0:0 ✺
11.12.21	Tuzlaspor - Menemenspor	1:1 ✺
06.12.21	Menemenspor - Keçiörengücü	2:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
02.12.21	Menemenspor - Hekimoğlu Trabzon	3:0 ✺
Turkish First League
27.11.21	Kocaelispor - Menemenspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
25.01.17	Menemenspor - Gençlerbirliği	3:2
15.12.16	Gençlerbirliği - Menemenspor	3:0

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