Match Info

Euro U21 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: MOL Aréna (Dunajská Streda)

Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	Joyn
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Czech-republic	CT sport
Denmark	TV3, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Joyn, Ran, SAT1
Greece	ERT 3
Hungary	Duna World / M4 Sport +, M4 Sport
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 1, Sport 4
Italy	RAI 1, RaiPlay
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Pro Arena, Voyo
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	RTVE Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Channel 4
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1


	Germany U21		Italy U21

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.9
	1.85	3.5	3.7
	1.92	3.61	4.23
				Watch
	1.83	3.3	3.75
	1.94	3.75	4.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.25)	3.57 ↑ (3.51)	3.94 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germany U21
49.9%

Draw
26.3%

Italy U21
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

27.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germany U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Germany U21's performance.

Italy U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Italy U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	10.3%	6.9%

Germany U21 - Italy U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Germany U21 will win (votes: 24 - 82.8%). Italy U21 will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Germany U21: 69.1% – 96.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Germany U21 (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Italy U21 (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Italy U21 (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Italy U21 (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Germany U21 will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Germany U21 (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Italy U21 (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) Freiburg 2. Collins N. Eintracht Frankfurt 5. Rosenfelder M. Freiburg 4. Arrey-Mbi B. Braga 3. Brown N. Eintracht Frankfurt 18. Reitz R. B. Monchengladbach 6. Martel E. (C) 1. FC Koln 20. Nebel P. Mainz 17. Gruda B. Brighton 9. Tresoldi N. Hannover 10. Woltemade N. VfB Stuttgart	1. Desplanches S. (G) Palermo 6. Ghilardi D. Verona 15. Coppola D. Verona 5. Pirola L. (C) Olympiacos Piraeus 2. Zanotti M. Lugano 4. Prati M. Cagliari 7. Ndour C. Fiorentina 3. Ruggeri M. Atalanta 14. Fabbian G. Bologna 17. Koleosho L. Burnley 10. Gnonto W. Leeds
Substitutes
21. Baum E. Elversberg 12. Ernst T. (G) Hertha Berlin 16. Jander C. Nurnberg 7. Knauff A. Eintracht Frankfurt 23. Noll N. (G) Greuther Furth 14. Oermann T. Bochum 8. Rohl M. Freiburg 15. Siebert J. Dusseldorf 11. Thielmann J. 1. FC Koln 13. Ullrich L. B. Monchengladbach 22. Wanner P. Heidenheim 19. Weiper N. Mainz	9. Ambrosino G. Frosinone 11. Baldanzi T. AS Roma 23. Bianco A. Monza 8. Casadei C. Torino 18. Doumbia I. Venezia 21. Fazzini J. Empoli 19. Guarino G. Carrarese 13. Kayode M. Brentford 20. Pisilli N. AS Roma 22. Sassi J. (G) Crotone 16. Turicchia R. Juventus 12. Zacchi G. (G) Latina
Coaches
Di Salvo A.	Nunziata C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Pirola L. 🟨,
28', Koleosho L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, Koleosho L. ⚽,
62', Tresoldi N. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
62', Gruda B. ↓, Knauff A. ↑,
62', Nebel P. ↓, Rohl M. ↑,
63', Gnonto W. 🟨,
68', 1 - 1, Woltemade N. ⚽, Reitz R. (A),
71', Koleosho L. ↓, Casadei C. ↑,
81', Gnonto W. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Weiper N. ⚽, Woltemade N. (A),
88', Ndour C. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
88', Ruggeri M. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
90', Zanotti M. 🟨,
90', Zanotti M. 🟨,
90', Prati M. 🟨,
90+3', Brown N. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Ambrosino G. ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Oermann T. ↑,
91', Prati M. ↓, Kayode M. ↑,
100', Collins N. ↓, Baum E. ↑,
102', Fabbian G. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
102', Pirola L. ↓, Turicchia R. ↑,
114', Martel E. ↓, Wanner P. ↑,
117', 3 - 2, Rohl M. ⚽, Brown N. (A),
120', Kayode M. 🟨,
120+1', Casadei C. 🟨,

Preview

Germany U21 is Qualified for Euro U21 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Italy U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Germany U21 is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germany U21 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Germany U21
UEFA Euro U21
18.06.25	England U21 - Germany U21	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Czech Republic U21 - Germany U21	2:4 ✺
12.06.25	Germany U21 - Slovenia U21	3:0 ✺
Friendly
25.03.25	Germany U21 - Spain U21	3:1 ✺
21.03.25	Slovakia U21 - Germany U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW
- Italy U21
UEFA Euro U21
17.06.25	Spain U21 - Italy U21	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Slovakia U21 - Italy U21	0:1 ✺
11.06.25	Italy U21 - Romania U21	1:0 ✺
Friendly
24.03.25	Italy U21 - Denmark U21	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	Italy U21 - Netherlands U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
19.11.22	Italy U21 - Germany U21	2:4
19.11.18	Germany U21 - Italy U21	2:1
UEFA Euro U21
24.06.17	Italy U21 - Germany U21	1:0
Friendly
27.03.15	Germany U21 - Italy U21	2:2
06.02.13	Italy U21 - Germany U21	1:0

Germany U21 - Italy U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide