Match Info

Euro U21 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Tehelné pole (Bratislava)

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	Joyn, SAT1
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Colombia	ESPN 5
Czech-republic	CT sport
Denmark	TV3, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Ruutu+
France	6play, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV, W9, W9
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Joyn, Ran, SAT1
Greece	ERT 3
Hungary	M4 Sport
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 1, Sport 3
Italy	RaiPlay, RAI Sport, RAI Sport+
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Pro TV, Voyo
Slovakia	Kanal A, STVR Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	RTVE Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	SAT1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Channel 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+


	England U21		Germany U21

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.63
	2.55	3.4	2.4
	2.58	3.55	2.83
				Watch
	2.62	3.2	2.4
	2.78	3.59	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.48)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)	2.56 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

England U21
36%

Draw
27.3%

Germany U21
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

27.8%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

England U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Germany U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for England U21 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germany U21 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	12%	76%

England U21 - Germany U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. England U21 will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Germany U21 will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Germany U21: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. England U21 (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Germany U21 (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Germany U21 (1.95) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - England U21 (1.47) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Germany U21 (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. England U21 (votes: 3 - 12%). Germany U21 (votes: 19 - 76%). Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beadle J. (G) Brighton 16. Hinshelwood J. Brighton 4. Quansah J. Liverpool 5. Cresswell C. Toulouse 2. Livramento V. Newcastle Utd 8. Anderson E. Nottingham 10. McAtee J. (C) Manchester City 20. Scott A. Bournemouth 18. Stansfield J. Birmingham 11. Hutchinson O. Ipswich 19. Elliott H. Liverpool	1. Atubolu N. (G) Freiburg 2. Collins N. Eintracht Frankfurt 4. Arrey-Mbi B. Braga 14. Oermann T. Bochum 3. Brown N. Eintracht Frankfurt 20. Nebel P. Mainz 6. Martel E. (C) 1. FC Koln 18. Reitz R. B. Monchengladbach 19. Weiper N. Mainz 10. Woltemade N. VfB Stuttgart 17. Gruda B. Brighton
Substitutes
3. Edwards R. Southampton 15. Egan-Riley C. Burnley 7. Fellows T. West Brom 14. Gray A. Tottenham 6. Hackney H. Middlesbrough 17. Iling Junior S. Middlesbrough 23. Morton T. Liverpool 12. Norton-Cuffy B. Genoa 21. Nwaneri E. Arsenal 9. Rowe J. Marseille 22. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) Chelsea 13. Simkin T. (G) Stoke City	21. Baum E. Elversberg 12. Ernst T. (G) Hertha Berlin 16. Jander C. Nurnberg 7. Knauff A. Eintracht Frankfurt 23. Noll N. (G) Greuther Furth 8. Rohl M. Freiburg 5. Rosenfelder M. Freiburg 15. Siebert J. Dusseldorf 11. Thielmann J. 1. FC Koln 9. Tresoldi N. Hannover 13. Ullrich L. B. Monchengladbach 22. Wanner P. Heidenheim
Coaches
Carsley L.	Di Salvo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Elliott H. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Hutchinson O. ⚽, McAtee J. (A),
37', Martel E. 🟨,
43', Scott A. 🟨,
44', Scott A. ↓, Morton T. ↑,
45+1', 2 - 1, Weiper N. ⚽, Nebel P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 2 - 2, Nebel P. ⚽,
62', Stansfield J. ↓, Norton-Cuffy B. ↑,
73', Gruda B. ↓, Knauff A. ↑,
80', Weiper N. ↓, Rohl M. ↑,
86', Brown N. ↓, Ullrich L. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', McAtee J. ↓, Nwaneri E. ↑,
91', Elliott H. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
92', 3 - 2, Rowe J. ⚽, Morton T. (A),
98', Martel E. ↓, Tresoldi N. ↑,
98', Hutchinson O. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
98', Anderson E. ↓, Egan-Riley C. ↑,
106', Oermann T. ↓, Wanner P. ↑,
113', Iling Junior S. 🟨,
115', Beadle J. 🟨,

Preview

Germany U21 is Qualified for Euro U21 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, England U21 won 2.

England U21 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Germany U21 is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, England U21 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- England U21
UEFA Euro U21
25.06.25	England U21 - Netherlands U21	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Spain U21 - England U21	1:3 ✺
18.06.25	England U21 - Germany U21	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	England U21 - Slovenia U21	0:0 ✺
12.06.25	Czech Republic U21 - England U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLTW
- Germany U21
UEFA Euro U21
25.06.25	Germany U21 - France U21	3:0 ✺
22.06.25	Germany U21 - Italy U21	3:2 ET ✺
18.06.25	England U21 - Germany U21	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Czech Republic U21 - Germany U21	2:4 ✺
12.06.25	Germany U21 - Slovenia U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro U21
18.06.25	England U21 - Germany U21	1:2
28.06.23	England U21 - Germany U21	2:0
Friendly
27.09.22	England U21 - Germany U21	3:1
26.03.19	England U21 - Germany U21	1:2
UEFA Euro U21
27.06.17	England U21 - Germany U21	2:3 penalties
Friendly
24.03.17	Germany U21 - England U21	1:0
30.03.15	England U21 - Germany U21	3:2

England U21 - Germany U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide