Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Real Sociedad C		Gernika

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.15
	3.25	3.1	2.13
	3.4	3.09	2.2
	3.36	3.11	2.13	Watch
	3	2.9	2.3
	3.28	3.15	2.17
	3.25	3.1	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.69)	3.06 ↓ (3.22)	2.17 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad C
28.2%

Draw
29.8%

Gernika
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

28.3%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Sociedad C's form might have worsened.

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad C than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad C, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Real Sociedad C - Gernika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad C won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gernika will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad C won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad C won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.12.24	UD Logroñés - Real Sociedad C	3:0 ✺
07.12.24	Real Sociedad C - Alavés B	1:2 ✺
01.12.24	Zaragoza B - Real Sociedad C	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Real Sociedad C - Alfaro	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	Real Sociedad C - Teruel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLWTW
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.12.24	Gernika - Subiza	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Barbastro - Gernika	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	Gernika - Anguiano	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	4:1 ✺
17.11.24	Gernika - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
31.03.24	Gernika - Real Sociedad C	3:1
18.11.23	Real Sociedad C - Gernika	2:0
18.02.23	Gernika - Real Sociedad C	1:0
02.10.22	Real Sociedad C - Gernika	1:2
13.02.22	Gernika - Real Sociedad C	0:0
26.09.21	Real Sociedad C - Gernika	2:3
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.02.20	Real Sociedad C - Gernika	2:1

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