Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Arenas Club de Getxo		Gernika

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	3.8
	1.87	3.25	3.9
	1.9	3	3.4
	1.84	3.38	4.02	Watch
	1.88	3.32	4.01
	1.87	3.25	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.82)	3.23 ↓ (3.38)	3.84 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Club de Getxo
48.5%

Draw
28%

Gernika
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.3%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

26.7%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Varona Boveda A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
61', 2 - 0, Zabaleta E. ⚽,
62', Larrauri J. 🟥,
75', 2 - 1, Bilbao I. ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, Badiola I. ⚽,
87', 4 - 1, Herranz Jimenez G. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arenas won 2.

Arenas in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gernika is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Arenas is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Arenas won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:16 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Arenas won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
17.11.24	UD Logroñés - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Alavés B	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Zaragoza B - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:4 ✺
26.10.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Alfaro	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Real Sociedad C - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWWW
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
17.11.24	Gernika - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Calahorra - Gernika	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Gernika - Utebo	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Eibar B - Gernika	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Gernika - Tudelano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.5 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.02.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	0:0
15.10.23	Gernika - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:2
16.04.23	Gernika - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:2
04.12.22	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	0:2
27.02.22	Gernika - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:2
10.10.21	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	0:0
17.04.19	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	4:1

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