The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ghazl El Mahalla 25.5%
Draw 37%
Al-Ittihad Alexandria 37.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.9%
38.1%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
37.1%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ittihad Alexandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
69.2%
15.4%
Ghazl El Mahalla - Al Ittihad Alexandria Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% โ 99.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Amer M. (C) 39. Abdelsalam M. 4. Shousha A. 3. El Aash A. 27. Gamal A. 90. Mwanga J. 12. Zakaria Y. 20. Toure M. 9. Arfaoui R. 41. Saidi K. 42. Salah M.
16. Genesh M. (C) 2. Abdelfattah K. 5. Ibrahim M. 4. Alaa M. 17. El Deeb K. 26. Dunga M. 25. Emad M. 27. Magdi A. 10. Afsha 13. Tony M. 18. Ebuka J.
Substitutes
19. Armoosha 7. Ashraf M. 21. Awadalla Ahmed M. 17. Bolbol M. 18. El Arabi A. (G) 5. Emam S. 22. Etman A. 13. Oufa M. 44. Yasser A.
33. Eid A. 9. Farid F. 90. Mabululu 88. Mahmoud A. 14. Mohamed A. 6. Shabana M. 34. Sherif M. 1. Soliman S. (G) 11. Wahid Y.
Coaches
Khattab A.
Hamdi M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Dunga M. ↓, Mohamed A. ↑,
32', Ebuka J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Zakaria Y. 🟨,
61', Mwanga J. ↓, Armoosha ↑,
61', Arfaoui R. ↓, Awadalla Ahmed M. ↑,
70', Salah M. ↓, Etman A. ↑,
70', Emad M. ↓, Wahid Y. ↑,
71', Ebuka J. ↓, Mabululu ↑,
89', Saidi K. ↓, Ashraf M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Armoosha ⚽, Etman A. (A),
90+3', Magdi A. ↓, Eid A. ↑,
90+3', Afsha ↓, Farid F. ↑,
90+5', Mohamed A. 🟨,
90+6', Awadalla Ahmed M. 🟨,
90+6', Alaa M. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 2.
Ghazl El Mahalla is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Al-Ittihad has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ghazl El Mahalla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
Egypt
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Amer M. (C) 
Mwanga J. 
Toure M. 
Arfaoui R. 
Saidi K. 
Ebuka J. 
Mabululu 
Hamdi M. 
