Match Info

EGYPT: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 23 January 2023, Monday

Location: Aswan Stadium (Aswan)


	Aswan		Ismaily

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.8	3.1
	2.28	2.85	3.3
	2.23	2.9	3.3
	2.36	2.9	3.62
	2.25	2.7	3.5
	2.22	2.84	3.58	Watch
	2.27	3.05	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.8)	2.86 ↑ (2.84)	3.39 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aswan
40.7%

Draw
32.2%

Ismaily
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

32.4%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

32.8%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aswan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aswan's performance.

Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ismaily might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aswan than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aswan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ismaily could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Aswan - Ismaily Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Aswan will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Ismaily will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aswan: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aswan won 1.

Recent matches Aswan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ismaily is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Aswan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Aswan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aswan SC
Egyptian Premier League
19.01.23	El Mokawloon El Arab - Aswan	1:0 ✺
13.01.23	Aswan - Haras El-Hodood	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	National Bank of Egypt - Aswan	0:0 ✺
02.01.23	Aswan - Zamalek	2:1 ✺
29.12.22	Al Masry - Aswan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 LTTWW
- Ismaily SC
Egyptian Premier League
18.01.23	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Ismaily	1:1 ✺
13.01.23	Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:3 ✺
08.01.23	Haras El-Hodood - Ismaily	2:0 ✺
03.01.23	Ismaily - National Bank of Egypt	0:0 ✺
29.12.22	Zamalek - Ismaily	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
14.05.21	Ismaily - Aswan	3:2
29.12.20	Aswan - Ismaily	0:2
15.10.20	Ismaily - Aswan	4:2
03.02.20	Aswan - Ismaily	2:1
22.06.17	Aswan - Ismaily	2:3
14.12.16	Ismaily - Aswan	5:0
04.07.16	Ismaily - Aswan	2:0

Aswan - Ismaily: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide