Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 13

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: El-Gazel Stadium (El Mahalla El Kubra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Ghazl El Mahalla		Haras El-Hodood

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.32	2.78	3.35	Watch
	2.46	2.74	3.76
	2.5	2.47	3.77	Watch
	2.4	2.75	3.1
	2.33	2.58	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.72)	2.66 ↑ (2.38)	3.5 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghazl El Mahalla
38.7%

Draw
34.9%

Haras El-Hodood
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

39%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

37.6%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghazl El Mahalla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Haras El-Hodood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ghazl El Mahalla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Ghazl El Mahalla - Haras El Hodood Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Haras El-Hodood will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ghazl El Mahalla: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. El Nafarawy A. (G) 27. Gamal A. 3. El Aash A. 4. Shousha A. 13. Oufa M. 17. Bolbol M. 39. Abdelsalam M. 42. Salah M. 19. Armoosha 7. Ashraf M. (C) 21. Awadalla Ahmed M.	16. Seha A. (G) 24. Awad M. (C) 5. Abdelhakim I. 4. Abou-Salima I. 10. El Henawy F. 6. Magli M. 90. Nayel A. 11. Mostafa M. 72. Tarek Z. 9. Gamal A. 74. Mahmoud Sayed Okaa
Substitutes
32. El Azab Y. 37. El Moghzi M. 70. El Sheikh A. 22. Etman A. 90. Mwanga J. 41. Saidi K. 18. Sayed Abdallah A. (G) 44. Yasser A. 12. Zakaria Y.	19. Al-Dawoud I. 29. El Negely M. 32. Kamel A. 45. Kouadja K. 55. Mohamed H. 31. Raafat M. 1. Ragab A. (G) 44. Sabra Y.
Coaches
Khattab A.	Shaaban H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Ashraf M. ⚽, Salah M. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Ashraf M. ⚽, Salah M. (A),
41', 2 - 1, Gamal A. ⚽, Mahmoud Sayed Okaa (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Tarek Z. ↓, El Negely M. ↑,
46', Armoosha ↓, Saidi K. ↑,
53', 3 - 1, Shousha A. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Oufa M. ↓, Zakaria Y. ↑,
62', 3 - 2, Nayel A. ⚽,
67', Ashraf M. ↓, Yasser A. ↑,
71', El Negely M. 🟨,
84', Abdelsalam M. ↓, Etman A. ↑,
84', Awadalla Ahmed M. ↓, El Moghzi M. ↑,
87', Abou-Salima I. 🟥,
89', 4 - 2, Zakaria Y. ⚽,
90+2', Mahmoud Sayed Okaa ↓, Kouadja K. ↑,
90+2', Mostafa M. ↓, Raafat M. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Haras El-Hodood has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ghazl El Mahalla won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Ghazl El Mahallah	5	0	1	4	1:9	-8	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League
23.05.26	Modern Sport - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:0 ✺
18.05.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	ZED - Ghazl El Mahalla	3:2 ✺
07.05.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLLT
- Haras El-Hodood
Egyptian Premier League
23.05.26	Haras El-Hodood - Petrojet	0:3 ✺
18.05.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Haras El-Hodood	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Haras El-Hodood - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0 ✺
07.05.26	Haras El-Hodood - ZED	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Haras El-Hodood - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
25.10.25	Haras El-Hodood - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:0
21.01.25	Ghazl El Mahalla - Haras El-Hodood	0:1
Egyptian Division 2 A
16.04.24	Haras El-Hodood - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1
01.10.23	Ghazl El Mahalla - Haras El-Hodood	1:1
Egyptian Premier League
14.07.23	Haras El-Hodood - Ghazl El Mahalla	2:1
Egyptian Cup
28.05.23	Haras El-Hodood - Ghazl El Mahalla	3:2
Egyptian Premier League
05.02.23	Ghazl El Mahalla - Haras El-Hodood	1:2

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