Match Info

EGYPT: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 4

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday

Location: El-Gazel Stadium (El Mahalla El Kubra)


	Ghazl El Mahalla		El Dakhleya

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.78	3.35	4.2
	1.9	3.1	4
	1.94	3.12	4.72
	1.88	3	4.2
	1.89	3.25	4.1	Watch
	1.93	3.25	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.54)	3.17 ↓ (3.69)	4.17 ↓ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghazl El Mahalla
48.9%

Draw
29.1%

El Dakhleya
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

24.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

23.4%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ghazl El Mahalla's form might have worsened.

El Dakhleya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Dakhleya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ghazl El Mahalla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Dakhleya than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Dakhleya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	6.7%	86.7%

Ghazl El Mahalla - El Dakhleya Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). El Dakhleya will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for El Dakhleya: 69.5% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Ghazl El Mahalla is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

El Dakhleya has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ghazl El Mahalla is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ghazl El Mahalla to win the game is with odds 1.85.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ghazl El Mahalla won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ghazl El Mahalla won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League
07.12.22	Ghazl El Mahalla - Al Ahly Cairo	0:2 ✺
30.11.22	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:2 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
19.11.22	Aswan - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:1 penalties ✺
Egyptian Premier League
29.10.22	Aswan - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:1 ✺
24.10.22	Ghazl El Mahalla - Ismaily	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWWWW
- El Dakhleya
Egyptian Premier League
07.12.22	Pharco - El Dakhleya	1:1 ✺
01.12.22	El Dakhleya - Modern Sport	0:1 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
19.11.22	El Dakhleya - Haras El-Hodood	1:2 ET ✺
Egyptian Premier League
02.11.22	El Dakhleya - Al Ahly Cairo	1:4 ✺
24.10.22	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Dakhleya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
06.04.16	El Dakhleya - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:0
06.12.15	Ghazl El Mahalla - El Dakhleya	1:1
09.03.14	Ghazl El Mahalla - El Dakhleya	0:0
26.12.13	El Dakhleya - Ghazl El Mahalla	2:2

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