Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 8

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: El-Gazel Stadium (El Mahalla El Kubra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Ghazl El Mahalla		Ismaily

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.55	3.8
	2.38	2.58	3.6	Watch
	2.49	2.6	3.95
	2.38	2.59	3.79	Watch
	2.5	2.5	3.5
	2.37	2.45	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.41)	2.55 ↑ (2.55)	3.73 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghazl El Mahalla
38.9%

Draw
36.3%

Ismaily
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

36.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

35.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghazl El Mahalla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Ghazl El Mahalla - Ismaily Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Ismaily (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ismaily (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Amer M. (C) 12. Zakaria Y. 4. Shousha A. 3. El Aash A. 24. Amoory A. 20. Toure M. 42. Salah M. 22. Etman A. 7. Ashraf M. 41. Saidi K. 90. Mwanga J.	31. Gamal A. (G) 44. Hassan A. 2. Nasr M. 23. Ayman A. 34. Shehata K. 30. El Said A. 10. Samiae M. (C) 33. Katkot A. 22. El Malawany A. 8. Traore E. 15. Farag N.
Substitutes
39. Abdelsalam M. 9. Arfaoui R. 32. El Azab Y. 37. El Moghzi M. 1. El Nafarawy A. (G) 28. Ineza A. 11. Magdy A. 13. Oufa M. 44. Yasser A.	1. Adel A. (G) 35. Ahmed O. 21. Ehab M. 39. El Atty M. 19. El Dah A. 38. El Nagaawy I. 13. Mahrous A. (G) 5. Mohamed A. 14. Mohamed Sukar H. 88. Samir M. 17. Wagdi M.
Coaches
Abdelaal A.	Galal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Toure M. ↓, Abdelsalam M. ↑,
35', El Said A. ↓, El Nagaawy I. ↑,
35', Ayman A. ↓, Mohamed A. ↑,
41', Farag N. 🟨,
45+5', Shehata K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mwanga J. ↓, El Azab Y. ↑,
56', Katkot A. ↓, Samir M. ↑,
57', Ashraf M. ↓, Ineza A. ↑,
78', El Malawany A. ↓, El Dah A. ↑,
90', Etman A. ↓, Magdy A. ↑,
90+1', Zakaria Y. 🟨,
90+2', Amoory A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 1.

Ghazl El Mahalla is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ismaily has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Ismaily has had a series of away games.

Ghazl El Mahalla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ghazl El Mahalla won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Ghazl El Mahallah	5	0	1	4	1:9	-8	1

Last Results with these Odds

Ghazl El Mahalla - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.21%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Ismaily - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 25.56%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League
28.04.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1 ✺
23.04.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Petrojet	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:3 ✺
13.04.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Wadi Degla	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - El Gouna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TTWTW
- Ismaily SC
Egyptian Premier League
28.04.26	Petrojet - Ismaily	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Ismaily - Modern Sport	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	El Gouna - Ismaily	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Ismaily	1:1 ✺
09.04.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ismaily	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
30.08.25	Ismaily - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:3
29.05.25	Ghazl El Mahalla - Ismaily	1:1
02.11.24	Ismaily - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:0
Egyptian League Cup
20.03.23	Ghazl El Mahalla - Ismaily	1:2 penalties
Egyptian Premier League
21.02.23	Ismaily - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1
24.10.22	Ghazl El Mahalla - Ismaily	2:1
Egyptian League Cup
03.07.22	Ismaily - Ghazl El Mahalla	2:3 penalties

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