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Current Win Probability
Al-Ittihad Alexandria 42.9%
Draw 34.4%
Ghazl El Mahalla 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
35.1%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
34.2%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.6%
7.7%
7.7%
Al Ittihad Alexandria - Ghazl El Mahalla Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ittihad: 65% โ 100%.
16. Genesh M. (G) 2. Abdelfattah K. 24. Gouda A. 5. Ibrahim M. 17. El Deeb K. (C) 26. Dunga M. 25. Emad M. 15. Liadi A. 11. Wahid Y. 9. Farid F. 90. Mabululu
16. Amer M. (G) 27. Gamal A. 3. El Aash A. 4. Shousha A. 12. Zakaria Y. (C) 37. El Moghzi M. 20. Toure M. 39. Abdelsalam M. 90. Mwanga J. 9. Arfaoui R. 42. Salah M.
Substitutes
10. Afsha 19. Alaa N. 37. Atef A. 22. Body 18. Ebuka J. 6. Shabana M. 34. Sherif M. 1. Soliman S. (G) 13. Tony M.
18. El Arabi A. (G) 32. El Azab Y. 70. El Sheikh A. 5. Emam S. 22. Etman A. 6. Hassan Y. 41. Saidi K. 77. Williams S. 44. Yasser A.
Coaches
Mostafa T.
Abdelaal A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Emad M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Arfaoui R. ↓, Saidi K. ↑,
47', Gamal A. 🟨,
52', El Moghzi M. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Liadi A. ⚽,
64', El Moghzi M. 🟨,
64', Farid F. ↓, Afsha ↑,
65', Abdelsalam M. ↓, El Azab Y. ↑,
66', 🟨,
66', Zakaria Y. 🟨,
68', Liadi A. ↓, Alaa N. ↑,
73', Gamal A. ↓, Yasser A. ↑,
78', Dunga M. 🟨,
83', Mwanga J. ↓, Etman A. ↑,
84', Toure M. ↓, Williams S. ↑,
84', Dunga M. ↓, Tony M. ↑,
84', Mabululu ↓, Ebuka J. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Wahid Y. ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 0.
Al-Ittihad has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ghazl El Mahalla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Al-Ittihad will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 0.9:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
Egypt
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Genesh M. (G) 
Liadi A. 
Mabululu 
Toure M. 
Mwanga J. 
Arfaoui R. 
Saidi K. 
