Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Khaled Bichara Stadium (El Gouna)

Referee: El Amrawi S. (Egy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	El Gouna		Ismaily

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	2.52	3.85	Watch
	2.36	2.5	4.76
	2.34	2.53	4.04	Watch
	2.25	2.5	3.9
	2.28	2.54	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.21)	2.52 ↓ (2.67)	4.16 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Gouna
40.5%

Draw
37.1%

Ismaily
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

34.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

28.5%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Gouna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ismaily could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	87.5%	12.5%

El Gouna - Ismaily Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ismaily will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alaa M. (G) 2. Taalab A. 5. El Shimi S. 4. Abdel Rasoul Ahmed 3. Khaled A. 13. El Gazar O. 14. El Sayed N. (C) 8. Salah R. 24. El Zahdi A. 7. Refaat A. 9. Mohsen M.	1. Adel A. (G) 34. Shehata K. 2. Nasr M. 4. Ammar M. (C) 38. El Nagaawy I. 35. Ahmed O. 10. Samiae M. 6. Hassan M. 32. Khatary M. 40. Abdelsalam A. 88. Samir M.
Substitutes
20. Belia A. 22. El Nahas M. 19. El Sayed B. 30. Emad M. 17. Gamal A. 6. Ibrahim H. 10. Mahmoud M. 1. Masoud A. (G) 28. Metawea M.	37. Abdelaal I. 7. Al Nabris K. 23. Ayman A. 22. El Malawany A. 30. El Said A. 15. Farag N. 31. Gamal A. (G) 33. Katkot A. 14. Mohamed Sukar H.
Coaches
Bebo A.	Galal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Mohsen M. ⚽, El Gazar O. (A),
45+2', El Gazar O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hassan M. ↓, Farag N. ↑,
55', Ahmed O. ↓, Al Nabris K. ↑,
64', Salah R. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
64', El Zahdi A. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
74', Abdelsalam A. ↓, Mohamed Sukar H. ↑,
74', Samiae M. ↓, El Malawany A. ↑,
79', Ammar M. 🟨,
81', Refaat A. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
88', El Gazar O. ↓, Metawea M. ↑,
89', Mohsen M. ↓, El Nahas M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 3.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Ismaily may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ismaily has had a series of away games.

In this match, El Gouna is seen as the favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, El Gouna won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	El Gouna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League
14.04.26	Modern Sport - El Gouna	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - El Gouna	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	0:0 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
30.03.26	Al Masry - El Gouna	2:2 ✺
26.03.26	El Gouna - Al Masry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTTL
- Ismaily SC
Egyptian Premier League
14.04.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Ismaily	1:1 ✺
09.04.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ismaily	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Ismaily - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Haras El-Hodood - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Al Masry - Ismaily	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
28.02.26	Ismaily - El Gouna	1:2
Egyptian League Cup
10.12.25	Ismaily - El Gouna	1:3
Egyptian Premier League
25.05.25	Ismaily - El Gouna	3:0
12.02.25	El Gouna - Ismaily	2:0
22.07.24	Ismaily - El Gouna	1:1
26.02.24	El Gouna - Ismaily	0:0
28.07.22	El Gouna - Ismaily	0:3

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