Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: El-Gazel Stadium (El Mahalla El Kubra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Ghazl El Mahalla		ZED

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.55	2.72	2.28	Watch
	4.07	2.69	2.37
	3.82	2.64	2.33	Watch
	3.5	2.7	2.3
	3.8	2.55	2.25	Watch
	3.75	2.66	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.26)	2.66 ↑ (2.6)	2.29 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghazl El Mahalla
24.7%

Draw
34.8%

ZED
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

35.8%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ZED has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZED than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Ghazl El Mahalla - ZED Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ZED (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - ZED (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. ZED (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Amer M. (G) 24. Amoory A. (C) 3. El Aash A. 4. Shousha A. 12. Zakaria Y. 7. Ashraf M. 39. Abdelsalam M. 44. Yasser A. 17. Bolbol M. 9. Arfaoui R. 90. Mwanga J.	1. Lotfi A. (C) 15. Ibrahim S. 3. Bakri A. 5. Tarek A. 24. Rabia M. 18. Ahmed El Sageery 77. Saber M. 37. Magassa M. 11. Saad M. 9. Atef A. 14. Messi
Substitutes
18. El Arabi A. (G) 37. El Moghzi M. 70. El Sheikh A. 27. Gamal A. 28. Ineza A. 11. Magdy A. 41. Saidi K. 42. Salah M. 10. Walid B.	17. Abdelrahman El Sakran 25. Bah M. 22. El Sayed Z. 4. Fathy A. 30. Gamal A. 88. Kabaka 7. Khalil R. 16. Mazzika M. (G) 26. Mutumosi Zilu P.
Coaches
Abdelaal A.	Shawky M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Mwanga J. ↓, Ineza A. ↑,
42', Messi 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ashraf M. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
50', Magassa M. 🟨,
55', Rabia M. 🟨,
62', Shousha A. 🟨,
62', Messi ↓, Abdelrahman El Sakran ↑,
62', Atef A. ↓, Khalil R. ↑,
65', Salah M. 🟨,
73', Yasser A. ↓, El Sheikh A. ↑,
73', Bolbol M. ↓, Saidi K. ↑,
79', Ahmed El Sageery 🟨,
87', Magassa M. ↓, Kabaka ↑,
90+3', Arfaoui R. ↓, El Moghzi M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ghazl El Mahalla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

ZED will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ghazl El Mahalla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	ZED	5	2	1	2	4:5	-1	7
20	Ghazl El Mahallah	5	0	1	4	1:9	-8	1

Last Results with these Odds

ZED - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.75%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League
05.02.26	Ceramica Cleopatra - Ghazl El Mahalla	3:2 ✺
29.01.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Wadi Degla - Ghazl El Mahalla	3:2 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
16.01.26	ENPPI - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:0 ✺
12.01.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLTW
- ZED FC
Egyptian Cup
14.02.26	Haras El-Hodood - ZED	2:1 penalties ✺
Egyptian Premier League
04.02.26	ZED - Al Masry	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Pharco - ZED	0:2 ✺
Egyptian Cup
21.01.26	ZED - Al Masry	1:0 penalties ✺
Egyptian League Cup
17.01.26	ZED - Kahrabaa Ismailia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
12.03.25	Ghazl El Mahalla - ZED	0:3
23.02.25	ZED - Ghazl El Mahalla	2:0
Egyptian League Cup
12.12.24	Ghazl El Mahalla - ZED	3:1

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