Match Info
Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 9Date: 7 May 2026, ThursdayLocation: Harras El Hodood Stadium (Alexandria)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Egypt | Kora Plus |
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Haras El-Hodood |
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ZED |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.95 |
2.92 |
4.15 |
Watch |
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1.91 |
3.27 |
4.82 |
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2.04 |
2.89 |
4.29 |
Watch |
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1.83 |
3.1 |
4.6 |
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1.85 |
3.19 |
4.63 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(3.8) |
3.07 ↑
(2.86) |
4.5 ↑
(2.15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Haras El-Hodood
48.8% | Draw
30.4% | ZED
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haras El-Hodood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haras El-Hodood's performance.ZED has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ZED might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (-23.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haras El-Hodood that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for ZED than the current prediction. (+20.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ZED could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Haras El-Hodood will win (votes: 24 - 75%). ZED will win (votes: 2 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Haras El-Hodood: 60% – 90%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Haras El-Hodood (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - ZED (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Haras El-Hodood will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Haras El-Hodood (votes: 3 - 75%). ZED (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
18.  El Zanfaly M. (G)
24. Awad M.
5. Abdelhakim I.
4. Abou-Salima I.
12. Bayoumi M.
30. Hafez A.
14. Ashraf M. (C)
27.  Cooper I.
74. Mahmoud Sayed Okaa
99. Hamdi M.
22. Saviola O.
| 16. Mazzika M. (C)
32. Bostangy A.
3. Bakri A.
38. Awad M.
7. Khalil R.
13.  Keita A.
90. Yasser M.
19. Emad A.
20. Alaa H.
12. Osama Nabih Y.
26.  Mutumosi Zilu P.
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| Substitutes |
17. El Deghemy M.
10. El Henawy F.
29. El Negely M.
20. Eze E.
37.  Gyabaah M.
6. Magli M.
90. Nayel A.
13. Shaaban A. (G)
72. Tarek Z.
| 22.  Bah M.
33. El Sayed A. (G)
25. El Sayed Z.
30. Gamal A.
39. Gomaa K.
15. Ibrahim S.
45. Mahmoud M.
35.  Sawaneh M.
46. Seif A.
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| Coaches |
Shaaban H.
| Shawky M.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', Emad A. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Emad A. ⚽, Osama Nabih Y. (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Abou-Salima I. ⚽, Ashraf M. (A),
- 45+4', 1 - 2, Bakri A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Awad M. ↓, El Henawy F. ↑,
- 46', Bakri A. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
- 46', Khalil R. ↓, Bah M. ↑,
- 46', Bah M. 🟨,
- 66', Osama Nabih Y. ↓, Ibrahim S. ↑,
- 66', Yasser M. ↓, El Sayed Z. ↑,
- 68', Hafez A. 🟨,
- 72', Emad A. ↓, Gomaa K. ↑,
- 73', Ashraf M. ↓, Twum M. ↑,
- 73', Hafez A. ↓, Seha A. ↑,
- 84', Saviola O. ↓, Tarek Z. ↑,
- 84', Abou-Salima I. ↓, Magli M. ↑,
- 90+5', Mazzika M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Bah M. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 2.Recent form of Haras El-Hodood has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).ZED has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, Haras El-Hodood is a strong favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).Including home matches between the teams, Haras El-Hodood won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
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Standings
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | ZED | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 46 |
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| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 23 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Egyptian Cup | | | 14.02.26 | Haras El-Hodood - ZED | 2:1 penalties | | Egyptian League Cup | | | 31.12.25 | ZED - Haras El-Hodood | 2:0 | | Egyptian Premier League | | | 27.09.25 | ZED - Haras El-Hodood | 0:1 | | 30.11.24 | ZED - Haras El-Hodood | 2:0 | | 03.09.20 | ZED - Haras El-Hodood | 1:1 | | 11.12.19 | Haras El-Hodood - ZED | 0:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
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