Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 30

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Ghiviborgo		Foligno

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.68
	2.65	3.15	2.61
	2.59	3.2	2.54
	2.5	2.88	2.63
	2.56	3.23	2.71
	2.52	3.07	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 (2.53)	3.13 ↑ (3.06)	2.63 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghiviborgo
36.1%

Draw
29.2%

Foligno
34.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29.3%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

28.5%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghiviborgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Foligno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghiviborgo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Ghiviborgo - Foligno Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ghiviborgo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Ghiviborgo	9	0	3	6	7:17	-10	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GSD Ghiviborgo VDS
Italian Serie D - Group E
29.03.26	Ghiviborgo - Prato	0:3 ✺
25.03.26	Ghiviborgo - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Siena - Ghiviborgo	4:1 ✺
22.02.26	Ghiviborgo - Follonica Gavorrano	6:2 ✺
15.02.26	Terranuova Traiana - Ghiviborgo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWT
- Foligno
Italian Serie D - Group E
29.03.26	Foligno - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Siena - Foligno	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Foligno - Follonica Gavorrano	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Terranuova Traiana - Foligno	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Foligno - Scandicci	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
23.11.25	Foligno - Ghiviborgo	1:1

Ghiviborgo - Foligno