Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Ghiviborgo		Prato

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.25	2.32
	2.74	3.31	2.35
	2.69	3.18	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.58)	3.25 ↓ (3.35)	2.34 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ghiviborgo
33.4%

Draw
27.9%

Prato
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

26.9%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

27%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghiviborgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghiviborgo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prato than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Ghiviborgo - Prato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Rossetti S. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 0 - 2, Verde F. ⚽,
42', 0 - 3, Verde F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Ghiviborgo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Prato is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ghiviborgo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ghiviborgo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Prato	6	4	2	0	9:4	5	14
18	Ghiviborgo	6	0	1	5	3:10	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GSD Ghiviborgo VDS
Italian Serie D - Group E
25.03.26	Ghiviborgo - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Siena - Ghiviborgo	4:1 ✺
22.02.26	Ghiviborgo - Follonica Gavorrano	6:2 ✺
15.02.26	Terranuova Traiana - Ghiviborgo	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Ghiviborgo - Scandicci	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWTT
- AC Prato
Italian Serie D - Group E
22.03.26	Prato - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Prato - Siena	3:3 ✺
01.03.26	Cannara - Prato	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Prato - Terranuova Traiana	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Prato	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
16.11.25	Prato - Ghiviborgo	2:1

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