Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Prato		San Donato Tavarnelle

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.33
	1.72	3.3	4.45
	1.64	3.5	4.8
	1.66	3.52	4.82	Watch
	1.67	3.1	4.8
	1.6	3.48	5.29
	1.71	3.35	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.74)	3.36 ↓ (3.38)	4.67 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prato
53.9%

Draw
26.8%

San Donato Tavarnelle
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26.8%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

25.6%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

San Donato Tavarnelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prato than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Prato - San Donato Tavarnelle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Prato is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Donato is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Prato is considered a favorite.

We predict that Prato will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Prato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Prato	6	4	2	0	9:4	5	14
11	San Donato	6	2	2	2	8:8	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Prato
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.03.26	Prato - Siena	3:3 ✺
01.03.26	Cannara - Prato	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Prato - Terranuova Traiana	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Prato	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Prato - Poggibonsi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWTW
- San Donato Tavarnelle
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.03.26	San Donato Tavarnelle - Terranuova Traiana	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	San Donato Tavarnelle - Poggibonsi	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Follonica Gavorrano - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	San Donato Tavarnelle - Tau Altopascio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
09.11.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Prato	0:2

Prato - San Donato Tavarnelle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide