Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 17

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Mezzolara		Aglianese

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.2
	1.99	3.02	3.15
	2.1	3.3	3.2
	2.03	3.28	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.22)	3.2 ↓ (3.24)	3.22 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mezzolara
44.1%

Draw
28%

Aglianese
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

26.9%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mezzolara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Aglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mezzolara than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aglianese than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

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Preview

Mezzolara is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Aglianese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mezzolara will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mezzolara won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Mezzolara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Mezzolara
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.12.22	Scandicci - Mezzolara	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	Mezzolara - Cavenago Fanfulla	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Ravenna - Mezzolara	2:3 ✺
13.11.22	Mezzolara - Correggese	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Mezzolara - Forlì	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTWWW
- Aglianese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.12.22	Aglianese - Bagnolese	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Forlì - Aglianese	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Aglianese - SantAngelo	2:2 ✺
13.11.22	Salsomaggiore - Aglianese	1:3 ✺
06.11.22	Pistoiese - Aglianese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
06.03.22	Aglianese - Mezzolara	0:3
24.10.21	Mezzolara - Aglianese	0:1
13.06.21	Mezzolara - Aglianese	0:1
14.03.21	Aglianese - Mezzolara	1:0

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