Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday


	Aglianese		Alcione

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.3
	1.92	3.2	3.5
	1.87	3.2	3.55
	1.83	3.22	3.72
	1.88	3.48	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 (1.9)	3.24 ↑ (3.07)	3.56 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aglianese
47.2%

Draw
27.6%

Alcione
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.3%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

19.4%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aglianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aglianese than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aglianese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcione could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aglianese - Alcione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Aglianese will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aglianese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
14.11.21	Rimini - Aglianese	5:1 ✺
07.11.21	Cavenago Fanfulla - Aglianese	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Aglianese - Ravenna	0:2 ✺
24.10.21	Mezzolara - Aglianese	0:1 ✺
20.10.21	Aglianese - Correggese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLWW
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group D
14.11.21	Alcione - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Correggese - Alcione	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Alcione - Cavenago Fanfulla	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Real Forte Querceta - Alcione	1:1 ✺
20.10.21	Alcione - Mezzolara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTLTW

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