Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 15

Date: 28 November 2022, Monday


	Giana Erminio		Crema

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6
	1.46	4	5.5
	1.44	3.65	5.18
	1.4	3.8	6.5
	1.43	4.15	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.57)	3.92 ↑ (3.85)	5.9 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
62.1%

Draw
22.7%

Crema
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.7%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

23.2%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Crema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crema than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.2%	17.4%	17.4%

Giana Erminio - Crema Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Giana Erminio will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Crema will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Giana Erminio: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs) and 14).

Recent matches Giana Erminio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crema is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Crema have a series of home games.

In this match Giana Erminio is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie D - Group D
20.11.22	Scandicci - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
13.11.22	Giana Erminio - Sammaurese	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Lentigione - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
02.11.22	Giana Erminio - Alcione	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.10.22	AC Carpi - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWTWL
- AC Crema
Italian Serie D - Group D
20.11.22	Crema - Salsomaggiore	3:1 ✺
13.11.22	United Riccione - Crema	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.11.22	Crema - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
06.11.22	Crema - SantAngelo	0:3 ✺
01.11.22	Crema - Mezzolara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWLW

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