Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Crema		SantAngelo

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.68
	2.44	3.15	2.73	Watch
	2.4	3.13	2.67
	2.45	3.14	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.35)	3.13 ↓ (3.4)	2.69 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crema
37.4%

Draw
28.9%

SantAngelo
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

26.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

26%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

SantAngelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crema than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SantAngelo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Crema - SantAngelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Recino G. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Davighi F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 12).

Recent form of Crema has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, SantAngelo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Crema won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Crema won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sant'Angelo	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8
15	Crema	6	1	1	4	4:14	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Crema
Italian Serie D - Group D
11.01.26	Tuttocuoio - Crema	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Crema - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Crema - Piacenza	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Correggese - Crema	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Crema - Pro Palazzolo	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLTL
- ACD SantAngelo
Italian Serie D - Group D
11.01.26	SantAngelo - Sasso Marconi	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Trevigliese - SantAngelo	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	SantAngelo - Lentigione	1:4 ✺
14.12.25	Progresso - SantAngelo	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	SantAngelo - Tuttocuoio	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
23.03.25	SantAngelo - Crema	3:0
10.11.24	Crema - SantAngelo	1:2
Italian Serie D - Group D
12.03.23	SantAngelo - Crema	0:0
06.11.22	Crema - SantAngelo	0:3

Crema - SantAngelo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide