Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Giarre		Santa Maria Cilento

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.8	2.95	2.35
	2.65	2.8	2.5
	2.64	2.89	2.35
	2.86	2.93	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.44)	2.93 ↓ (3.1)	2.39 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giarre
32.4%

Draw
30.4%

Santa Maria Cilento
37.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.6%

29.5%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

22.3%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giarre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giarre's performance.

Santa Maria Cilento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Maria Cilento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giarre than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giarre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Maria Cilento than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Maria Cilento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Giarre - Santa Maria Cilento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 6).

Giarre is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santa Maria Cilento is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Giarre Calcio 1946
Italian Serie D - Group I
28.11.21	Troina - Giarre	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Giarre - Rende	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Sancataldese - Giarre	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Giarre - Cittanovese	1:3 ✺
31.10.21	Trapani - Giarre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLLT
- Santa Maria Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
28.11.21	Santa Maria Cilento - Castrovillari	1:3 ✺
21.11.21	FC Messina - Santa Maria Cilento	0:1 ✺
14.11.21	Santa Maria Cilento - Troina	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Santa Maria Cilento - Rende	3:2 ✺
31.10.21	Sancataldese - Santa Maria Cilento	1:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW

Giarre - Santa Maria Cilento

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Giarre - Santa Maria Cilento Predictions

Preview

Form

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