What is the expert prediction for Gibraltar vs Latvia?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Gibraltar vs Latvia. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Gibraltar vs Latvia Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, March 26, 2026)

Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League C/D - Relegation - Final

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Europa point stadium (Gibraltar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV 3, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 2
Latvia	LTV 7
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	GBC TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 1, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+


	Gibraltar		Latvia

	1	X	2
	8.5	4	1.42
	7.78	4.08	1.49
	7.51	2.70	1.79	Watch
	8.5	3.9	1.4
	9.95	4.32	1.46	Watch
	7	4.1	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.21 ↑ (6.8)	3.85 ↓ (3.95)	1.5 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gibraltar
11.6%

Draw
24.8%

Latvia
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

23.5%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gibraltar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Latvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Gibraltar will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Latvia will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Latvia: 80.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Latvia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hankins J. (G) Lincoln Red Imps 11. Richards C. Dorking Wanderers 5. Bent D. Larne 6. Lopes B. Lincoln Red Imps 3. Valarino J. Lincoln Red Imps 18. Bartolo J. AFC Totton 4. Pozo N. Lincoln Red Imps 22. Torrilla G. (C) Lincoln Red Imps 10. Del Rio J. Magpies 2. Ronan K. Chelmsford 8. Scanlon J. Swindon	23. Matrevics R. (G) Dukla Prague 2. Balodis D. Presov 5. Cernomordijs A. (C) Riga FC 4. Veips R. RFS 13. Jurkovskis R. Riga FC 17. Vapne L. Sogndal 15. Zelenkovs D. RFS 14. Ciganiks A. Luzern 10. Ikaunieks J. RFS 8. Varslavans R. Riga FC 9. Gutkovskis V. Arka Gdynia
Substitutes
1. Banda B. (G) Europa FC 12. Borge D. Magpies 13. Chakraverty T. (G) 9. Coombes J. Coniston 17. Douah B. Lions Gibraltar 19. Emrani M. Europa Point 20. Llambias E. Mons Calpe 21. Mauro K. Cadiz 15. Ostheider J. Cadiz 16. Perera J. Magpies 14. Scanlon L. Burnley	16. Birka E. Riga FC 11. Emsis E. Super Nova 7. Grabovskis K. Boldklubben 1893 3. Jagodinskis V. Visakha 21. Melniks D. FK Auda Riga 12. Orols F. (G) Riga FC 20. Patijcuks D. FK Liepaja 19. Regza M. Hradec Kralove 22. Saveljevs A. 18. Sits D. Atl. Madrid 6. Sliede N. RFS 1. Zviedris K. (G) Riga FC
Coaches
Wiseman S.	Nicolato P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Veips R. 🟨,
33', Bartolo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Bent D. 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Gutkovskis V. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Balodis D. 🟨,
71', Ronan K. ↓, Mauro K. ↑,
72', Del Rio J. ↓, Emrani M. ↑,
74', Gutkovskis V. ↓, Sits D. ↑,
77', Bartolo J. ↓, Borge D. ↑,
77', Lopes B. ↓, Perera J. ↑,
83', Veips R. ↓, Melniks D. ↑,
83', Varslavans R. ↓, Grabovskis K. ↑,
84', Pozo N. ↓, Douah B. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

In this match, Latvia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gibraltar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gibraltar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gibraltar
FIFA World Cup
17.11.25	Czech Republic - Gibraltar	6:0 ✺
14.11.25	Gibraltar - Montenegro	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Croatia - Gibraltar	3:0 ✺
Friendly
08.10.25	Gibraltar - New Caledonia	0:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
08.09.25	Gibraltar - Faroe Islands	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Latvia
FIFA World Cup
16.11.25	Serbia - Latvia	2:1 ✺
Friendly
13.11.25	North Macedonia - Latvia	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Latvia - England	0:5 ✺
11.10.25	Latvia - Andorra	2:2 ✺
09.09.25	Albania - Latvia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
16.11.21	Gibraltar - Latvia	1:3
01.09.21	Latvia - Gibraltar	3:1
Friendly
25.03.18	Gibraltar - Latvia	1:0
29.03.16	Gibraltar - Latvia	0:5

Gibraltar - Latvia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide