Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Europa point stadium (Gibraltar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	SporTV 2, SporTV
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	TV2 Play
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Iceland	Viaplay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Prima Sport 4
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	GBC TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
Venezuela	Disney+


	Gibraltar		New Caledonia

	1	X	2
	1.38	3.9	8
	1.39	4.25	7.4
	1.4	4.5	8.07
	1.60	3.73	5.14	Watch
	1.49	4.21	8.85	Watch
	1.29	4.9	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.3)	4.25 ↓ (4.84)	8.24 ↓ (10.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gibraltar
66.3%

Draw
22.2%

New Caledonia
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

19.3%

8.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gibraltar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gibraltar's form might have worsened.

New Caledonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Gibraltar - New Caledonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gibraltar will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). New Caledonia will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gibraltar: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gibraltar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Gibraltar (1.70) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gibraltar (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hankins J. (G) Lincoln Red Imps 3. Jolley E. St Josephs 15. McClafferty P. 6. Lopes B. Lincoln Red Imps 2. Valarino J. Lincoln Red Imps 4. Bent D. Larne 8. Scanlon J. Manchester United 18. Clinton K. Lincoln Red Imps 20. Vinet J. Europa FC 12. Borge D. Magpies 7. De Barr T. (C) Lincoln Red Imps	1. Nyikeine R. (G) Hienghene Sport 2. Iwa B. Qanono Sports 6. Mathelon M. Tiga Sport 18. Simane D. ASPTT Dijon 7. Jeno A. Unirea Slobozia 4. Bako P. L. Vertou 19. Athale J. St Quentin 8. Kenon J. Saint-Philbert 11. Zeoula C. (C) Chauvigny 9. Katrawa J. 20. Waia G. Tiga Sport
Substitutes
5. Annesley L. Dorking Wanderers 1. Banda B. (G) Europa FC 10. Del Rio J. Magpies 9. El Hmidi A. USM Oujda 13. Huart V. (G) Lynx 19. Jessop L. Lincoln Red Imps 21. Mauro K. Cadiz 16. Perera J. Magpies 11. Richards C. Dorking Wanderers 14. Ronan K. King’s Lynn 17. Ronco K. Magpies	10. Ausu B. 17. Bearune Y. 22. Haewegene G. Magenta 16. Hlupa W. (G) 23. Iekawe P. Tiga Sport 5. Ranchain F. Gaitcha 15. Richard T. Mont Dore 13. Rokuad W. Magenta 21. Schmidt T. (G) Tiga Sport 14. Waya L. 3. Welepane H. 12. Welepane S. Tiga Sport
Coaches
Wiseman S.	Sidaner J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Vinet J. ↓, Richards C. ↑,
46', Lopes B. ↓, Annesley L. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Katrawa J. ⚽, Athale J. (A),
62', Bent D. ↓, Perera J. ↑,
62', Borge D. ↓, Del Rio J. ↑,
62', Clinton K. ↓, Ronan K. ↑,
66', Iwa B. ↓, Richard T. ↑,
66', Waia G. ↓, Welepane S. ↑,
78', Kenon J. ↓, Bearune Y. ↑,
78', Katrawa J. ↓, Haewegene G. ↑,
82', Jolley E. ↓, El Hmidi A. ↑,
90+1', Richard T. 🟨,
90+2', Valarino J. 🟥,
90+4', Zeoula C. ↓, Iekawe P. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 2, Haewegene G. ⚽, Athale J. (A),

Preview

In this match, Gibraltar is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gibraltar
FIFA World Cup
08.09.25	Gibraltar - Faroe Islands	0:1 ✺
Friendly
04.09.25	Gibraltar - Albania	0:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.06.25	Faroe Islands - Gibraltar	2:1 ✺
06.06.25	Gibraltar - Croatia	0:7 ✺
25.03.25	Gibraltar - Czech Republic	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- New Caledonia
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	New Caledonia - New Zealand	0:3 ✺
20.03.25	New Caledonia - Tahiti	3:0 ✺
16.11.24	Fiji - New Caledonia	1:1 ✺
13.11.24	Solomon Islands - New Caledonia	2:3 ✺
10.10.24	New Caledonia - Papua New Guinea	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTWW

Gibraltar - New Caledonia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide