Match Info

Premier League

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Gicumbi		Al-Merreikh

	1	X	2
	4.35	2.98	1.82
	4.31	3.05	1.81
	4.57	3.12	1.83	Watch
	4.4	2.9	1.8
	4.71	3.05	1.78
	3.35	3.1	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (3.35)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	1.84 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gicumbi
21.1%

Draw
29.8%

Al-Merreikh
49.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.5%

28.6%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

28.5%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gicumbi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gicumbi's form might have worsened.

Al-Merreikh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gicumbi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gicumbi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Gicumbi - Al Merreikh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gicumbi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gicumbi has had a series of home games.

Al-Merreikh could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gicumbi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Gicumbi	5	3	0	2	5:4	1	9
17	Al Merreikh	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gicumbi FC
Rwanda Premier League
24.04.26	Gicumbi - Rutsiro	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Gicumbi - Muhanga	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Rayon Sports - Gicumbi	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Gicumbi - Gorilla	0:1 ✺
16.03.26	Gicumbi - Police	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTLL
- Al-Merreikh
Rwanda Premier League
26.04.26	Al-Merreikh - Bugesera	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Mukura Victory Sports - Al-Merreikh	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Al-Merreikh - Rutsiro	0:0 ✺
19.03.26	Al-Merreikh - Muhanga	3:0 ✺
16.03.26	Rayon Sports - Al-Merreikh	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
21.12.25	Al-Merreikh - Gicumbi	1:0

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