Match Info

Premier League

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Al Merreikh Stadium (Omdurman)


	Al-Merreikh		Bugesera

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.65	7.9
	1.38	3.8	7.28
	1.43	3.86	7.78	Watch
	1.4	3.6	8
	1.38	3.92	8.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)	3.77 ↑ (3.77)	7.82 ↑ (6.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Merreikh
64.5%

Draw
24%

Bugesera
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23.8%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

24.3%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Merreikh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Bugesera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Al Merreikh - Bugesera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 8).

Al-Merreikh has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bugesera is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Al-Merreikh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Merreikh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Al-Merreikh	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
17	Bugesera	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Merreikh
Rwanda Premier League
18.04.26	Mukura Victory Sports - Al-Merreikh	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Al-Merreikh - Rutsiro	0:0 ✺
19.03.26	Al-Merreikh - Muhanga	3:0 ✺
16.03.26	Rayon Sports - Al-Merreikh	0:0 ✺
09.03.26	Police - Al-Merreikh	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWTW
- Bugesera FC
Rwanda Premier League
19.04.26	Police - Bugesera	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Bugesera - Etincelles	2:0 penalties ✺
25.03.26	Bugesera - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Gasogi United - Bugesera	0:1 ✺
Rwanda Peace Cup
11.03.26	Bugesera - Etincelles	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
27.11.25	Bugesera - Al-Merreikh	1:0

Al-Merreikh - Bugesera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide