Match Info

K League 2 - Round 27

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Gimhae Sports Complex (Gimhae)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
South-korea	Coupang Play, IB Sports
World	K League TV


	Gimhae		Paju Frontier

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.50	3.10	2.50
	2.38	3.15	2.75
	2.43	3.37	3.04
	2.67	3.24	2.62	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.95
	2.44	3.32	2.8	Watch
	2.37	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.56)	3.24 ↑ (3.22)	2.76 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimhae
37.9%

Draw
28.6%

Paju Frontier
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

29%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

27.9%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimhae has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for Gimhae aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Gimhae - Paju Frontier Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gimhae will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Paju Frontier will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Choe Pil-Soo (C) 5. Yeo J. 29. Hong W. 14. Pyo Geon-Hee 33. Park Jae-Hyun 16. Choe Won-Cheol 34. Gwak Seong-Uk 23. Sung Ho-Yeung 11. Lee Kang-Uk 94. Woo J. 9. Mikeltadze B.	1. Ryu Won-Woo (C) 34. Roh S. 81. Kim Min-Ho 5. Sim Min-Yong 22. Lee Min-Ki 18. Lee Jea-Ho 4. Kim Hyun-Tae 8. Choi Bum-Kyung 10. Lee Joon-Suk 92. Baston B. 70. Ahn June Hyuk
Substitutes
6. Choi Jun-Yeong 25. Han Jun-Sung (G) 7. Lee Seung-Jae 17. Lee Y. 96. Macedo R. 98. Miguel Baggio 8. Moon S. 41. Park Yo-Han 30. Seol H.	40. Amos L. 6. Cheon Hyeon-Byung 55. Jang Ha-Yun 16. Lee D. 88. Lee Taek-Geun 17. Park S. 7. Walterson Silva 91. Yeom Kyung-min (G) 19. You Jae-jun
Coaches
Son Hyun-jun	Pereira M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Sim Min-Yong ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kim Hyun-Tae ↓, Amos L. ↑,
61', Lee Kang-Uk ↓, Lee Seung-Jae ↑,
61', Lee Joon-Suk ↓, You Jae-jun ↑,
68', Ahn June Hyuk ↓, Lee Taek-Geun ↑,
70', Roh S. ↓, Cheon Hyeon-Byung ↑,
70', Park Jae-Hyun ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
72', Lee Taek-Geun 🟨,
82', Mikeltadze B. ↓, Seol H. ↑,
82', Sung Ho-Yeung ↓, Lee Y. ↑,
86', 🟨,
88', Lee Jea-Ho ↓, Lee D. ↑,
90+6', Baston B. 🟨,
90+7', 0 - 2, Lee D. ⚽,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 17th in the K League 2 (Relegation) and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimhae won 3.

Gimhae is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Paju Frontier have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Gimhae may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Gimhae has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:13 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gimhae against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:4 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Paju Frontier	25	8	5	12	24:28	-4	29
17	Gimhae	25	2	7	16	19:49	-30	13

Last Results with these Odds

Paju Frontier - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.48%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimhae FC
South Korean K-League 2
13.09.26	Busan I Park - Gimhae	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Gimhae - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Gimhae - Yongin	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Suwon - Gimhae	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Gimhae - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLT
- Paju Frontier
South Korean K-League 2
04.09.26	Paju Frontier - Daegu	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Gyeongnam - Paju Frontier	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Seoul E-Land - Paju Frontier	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Paju Frontier - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Paju Frontier - Suwon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
05.04.26	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	3:1
South Korean K3 League
23.08.25	Gimhae - Paju Frontier	2:0
26.04.25	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	1:2
28.07.24	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	1:1
13.04.24	Gimhae - Paju Frontier	1:0
24.06.23	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	1:2
12.03.23	Gimhae - Paju Frontier	0:1

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