The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheonan City 27.9%
Draw 27.8%
Hwaseong 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
26.1%
46.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.8%
25%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheonan City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Hwaseong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
75%
25%
Cheonan City - Hwaseong Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Hwaseong will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Park Ju-Won (G) 5. Ko Tae-Won (C) 4. Choi Jun-Hyeok 20. Lee Sang-Yong 11. Lee Ji-Hoon 17. Lee Ji-Seung 14. Koo J. 27. Park Chang-Woo 47. Wu J. 99. Bruno Lamas 10. Toungara A.
1. Kim S. (G) 20. Park Jun-seo 97. Lee Rae-Jun 15. Vojnovic A. 22. Kim D. 16. Choi Myung-Hee 92. Lee Jong-Sung (C) 17. Park Kyung-Min 11. Pllana L. 90. Ilyuchenko S. 7. Jegal Jae-Min
Substitutes
70. Gustavo Sarjani 8. Her Dong-Min 66. Jeong Ji-hwang 16. Kim Seong-Ju 24. Kwon Yong-seung 23. Lee Dong-Hyeop 9. Lee Joon-Ho 7. Lee Sang-Jun 21. Park Dae-Han (G)
24. Choi Ye-Hoon 44. Ham Sun-Woo 8. Jeon S. 14. Kim Byung-Oh 6. Kim Jung-Min 2. Lim C. 38. Park E. (G) 9. Petrov S. 5. Yang Si-Hoo
Coaches
Park Jin-sub
Cha Du-Ri
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Wu J. ↓, Lee Sang-Jun ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Park Chang-Woo 🟨,
54', Lee Ji-Hoon ↓, Lee Dong-Hyeop ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Toungara A. ⚽, Lee Ji-Seung (A),
59', Jegal Jae-Min ↓, Lim C. ↑,
59', Choi Myung-Hee ↓, Petrov S. ↑,
59', Park Kyung-Min ↓, Yang Si-Hoo ↑,
65', Vojnovic A. 🟨,
72', Park Ju-Won 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Petrov S. ⚽, Ilyuchenko S. (A),
81', Ilyuchenko S. ↓, Kim Byung-Oh ↑,
81', Lee Jong-Sung ↓, Jeon S. ↑,
82', Koo J. ↓, Lee Joon-Ho ↑,
82', Park Chang-Woo ↓, Jeong Ji-hwang ↑,
90+11', Kim D. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheonan City won 0.
Recent form of Cheonan City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Hwaseong has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Hwaseong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Hwaseong could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cheonan City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheonan City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Hwaseong
26
12
8
6
41:27
14
44
14
Cheonan City
26
4
11
11
30:37
-7
23
Last Results with these Odds
Cheonan City - the odds 3.46 are the expected chance of winning is 26.99%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.