The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimhae 35.9%
Draw 28.1%
Jeonnam Dragons 36%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
26.4%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
25.3%
42.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimhae has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Jeonnam Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeonnam Dragons than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jeonnam Dragons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gimhae - Jeonnam Dragons Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Choe Pil-Soo (C) 5. Yeo J. 29. Hong W. 4. Cha Jun-Young 14. Pyo Geon-Hee 98. Miguel Baggio 41. Park Yo-Han 33. Park Jae-Hyun 11. Lee Kang-Uk 9. Mikeltadze B. 7. Lee Seung-Jae
1. Choi Bong-Jin (G) 24. Cho Young-Kwang 5. Jang Sun-Hyuk (C) 22. Hong Seok-Hyun 13. Kim Yong-Hwan 27. Bughridze I. 34. Jang Yun-Ho 7. Choi Han-Sol 79. Mirandinha 10. Valdivia 19. Ronan
Substitutes
1. Jeong Jin-Wook (G) 27. Lee Jun-Gyu 3. Lee Seul-Chan 17. Lee Y. 96. Macedo R. 8. Moon S. 22. Park Sang-Jun 30. Seol H. 77. Yun B.
32. Chu Sang-Hoon 9. Ha Nam 11. Jeong Ji-Yong 99. Jeong Kang-min 31. Jo M. (G) 17. Kim Beom-Su 97. Kim Joo-Heon 44. Noh Dong-Geon 14. Yoon Min-ho
Coaches
Son Hyun-jun
Lim K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Bughridze I. ⚽, Mirandinha (A),
17', 1 - 1, Lee Seung-Jae ⚽, Park Yo-Han (A),
26', Ronan ↓, Ha Nam ↑,
28', 2 - 1, Miguel Baggio ⚽,
36', 2 - 2, Ha Nam ⚽, Jang Yun-Ho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cho Young-Kwang ↓, Kim Beom-Su ↑,
60', Pyo Geon-Hee ↓, Lee Y. ↑,
62', Bughridze I. ↓, Chu Sang-Hoon ↑,
71', Miguel Baggio ↓, Moon S. ↑,
71', Kim Yong-Hwan ↓, Jeong Kang-min ↑,
71', Jang Sun-Hyuk ↓, Yoon Min-ho ↑,
76', Lee Kang-Uk 🟨,
76', Choi Han-Sol 🟨,
81', Cha Jun-Young 🟨,
87', Moon S. 🟨,
90+1', Lee Kang-Uk ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone K League 2 (Relegation) and 15).
Gimhae is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Jeonnam Dragons's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Jeonnam Dragons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Jeonnam Dragons has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gimhae won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Jeonnam
25
4
9
12
28:43
-15
21
17
Gimhae
25
2
7
16
19:49
-30
13
Last Results with these Odds
Jeonnam Dragons - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.41%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.