Match Info

K League 2 - Round 23

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Suwon Sports Complex (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Suwon		Gimhae

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	5.75	Watch
	1.44	4.33	5.25
	1.46	4.25	5.5
	1.53	4.39	6.12
	1.46	4.8	5.88	Watch
	1.5	4.3	6.05
	1.49	4.17	6.32	Watch
	1.46	4.3	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.47)	4.32 ↓ (4.47)	5.81 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon
62.7%

Draw
21.4%

Gimhae
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

20.6%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

19.6%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Suwon have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Gimhae has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Gimhae aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Suwon - Gimhae Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Suwon will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yang Han-Been (G) 25. Jang Young-Woo 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 3. Derlan 22. Seo Jae-Min 18. Tsukagawa K. 14. Goo Bon-Cheul (C) 11. Kim Jeong-Hwan 10. Matheus Frizzo 91. Kim Do-Yoon 9. Matheus Babi	91. Choe Pil-Soo (C) 5. Yeo J. 29. Hong W. 4. Cha Jun-Young 33. Park Jae-Hyun 16. Choe Won-Cheol 34. Gwak Seong-Uk 30. Seol H. 23. Sung Ho-Yeung 11. Lee Kang-Uk 9. Mikeltadze B.
Substitutes
29. Choi Gi-Yun 99. Ha Jung-woo 8. Han Chan-Hee 13. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 70. Jung Seung-Bae 6. Kim Ji-hun 7. Lee Jae-Won 20. Lee Ji-Sol 27. Lee S.	1. Jeong Jin-Wook (G) 27. Lee Jun-Gyu 3. Lee Seul-Chan 7. Lee Seung-Jae 17. Lee Y. 96. Macedo R. 8. Moon S. 41. Park Yo-Han 77. Yun B.
Coaches
Park Kun-Ha	Son Hyun-jun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Matheus Frizzo ⚽, Matheus Babi (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kim Do-Yoon ↓, Jung Seung-Bae ↑,
46', Park Jae-Hyun ↓, Park Yo-Han ↑,
47', Hong W. 🟨,
63', Sung Ho-Yeung ↓, Lee Y. ↑,
63', Mikeltadze B. ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
66', Lee Hyeon-yong 🟨,
67', Tsukagawa K. ↓, Lee Jae-Won ↑,
67', Kim Jeong-Hwan ↓, Choi Gi-Yun ↑,
68', Choe Won-Cheol ↓, Lee Seung-Jae ↑,
70', Matheus Babi 🟨,
73', Matheus Babi ↓, Ha Jung-woo ↑,
83', Lee Kang-Uk ↓, Moon S. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Ha Jung-woo ⚽,
90+2', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Lee S. ↑,
90+4', Choe Pil-Soo 🟨,
90+4', Ha Jung-woo 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone K League 2 (Relegation)).

Recent performances by Suwon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gimhae's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Suwon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Suwon has had a series of away games.

In this match, Suwon is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Suwon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwon FC	25	13	9	3	50:29	21	48
17	Gimhae	25	2	7	16	19:49	-30	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 2
15.08.26	Suwon Bluewings - Suwon	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Paju Frontier - Suwon	0:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
25.07.26	Daegu - Suwon	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Suwon - Seoul E-Land	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWLWT
- Gimhae FC
South Korean K-League 2
15.08.26	Gimhae - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Suwon Bluewings - Gimhae	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Ansan Greeners - Gimhae	2:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gimhae - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
24.07.26	Gimhae - Cheongju	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
14.03.26	Gimhae - Suwon	1:2

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