Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Gimnástica de Torrelavega		Vimenor

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.85	5.9
	1.43	4.05	7.11
	1.14	7.63	13.82	Watch
	1.45	3.8	6.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.51)	4.83 ↑ (3.6)	8.39 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
69.1%

Draw
19.6%

Vimenor
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

24.6%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástica de Torrelavega's performance.

Vimenor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástica de Torrelavega that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vimenor than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Vimenor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Gomez D. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Primo ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 3 - 0, Garcia S. ⚽,
88', 4 - 0, Salas D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Torrelavega is considered a favorite.

We predict that Torrelavega will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torrelavega won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Torrelavega won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
09.11.25	Tropezón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Cartes	4:1 ✺
26.10.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Atlético Albericia	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Colindres - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Revilla - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW
- CF Vimenor
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
09.11.25	Vimenor - Revilla	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	Guarnizo - Vimenor	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Vimenor - Colindres	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Vimenor - Laredo	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Bezana - Vimenor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
13.02.22	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Vimenor	1:3
17.10.21	Vimenor - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:1
08.12.20	Vimenor - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:2
19.01.20	Vimenor - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:3
01.09.19	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Vimenor	2:0

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