Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Tropezón		Gimnástica de Torrelavega

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.15	2.05
	3.36	3.1	2.15
	3.42	3.1	2.06
	2.7	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.22)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	2.18 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tropezón
28.8%

Draw
29.3%

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

30.9%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tropezón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tropezón's form might have worsened.

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnástica de Torrelavega's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tropezón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnástica de Torrelavega, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tropezón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 1, Ruiz Fernandez V. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).

Tropezón has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torrelavega is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Torrelavega may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tropezón won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnástica de Torrelavega - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 29.71%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tropezón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
01.11.25	Revilla - Tropezón	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Tropezón - Leonesa	1:3 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
25.10.25	Tropezón - Guarnizo	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	Colindres - Tropezón	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Tropezón - Selaya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLTW
- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
02.11.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Cartes	4:1 ✺
26.10.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Atlético Albericia	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Colindres - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Revilla - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:4 ✺
12.10.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Guarnizo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.08.24	Tropezón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
28.02.21	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Tropezón	1:1
22.12.19	Tropezón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
11.03.18	Tropezón - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1
15.10.17	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Tropezón	1:1

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