Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Gimnasia La Plata		Lanús

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.8	3.6	Watch
	2.4	2.8	3.25
	2.38	2.88	3.55	Watch
	2.47	2.88	3.61
	2.38	2.7	3.3
	2.37	2.79	3.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 (2.4)	2.81 ↓ (2.9)	3.48 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata
39.3%

Draw
33.6%

Lanús
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

32.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	40%	33.3%

Gimnasia La Plata - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Lanús will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Lanús (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Insfran N. (G) 15. Pintado J. 4. Giampaoli R. 6. Suso G. 33. Villalba J. 38. Panaro M. 36. Garayalde N. 18. Seoane M. 24. Merlo J. 32. Torres M. 11. Briasco N.	26. Losada N. (G) 3. Morgantini N. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 13. Canale Dominguez J. 40. Romero L. 30. Cardozo A. 33. Ramirez J. 20. Cabrera B. 8. Watson F. N. 14. Canelo A. 36. Segovia A.
Substitutes
19. Castro L. 2. Corbalan F. 13. German Conti 1. Ingolotti L. (G) 31. Lomonaco S. 21. Martinez E. 16. Max A. 8. Merlini B. 20. Perez J. 7. Piedrahita A. 25. Yangali J. 43. Zalazar M.	25. Aquino D. 19. Castillo R. 37. De Martis T. 10. Marcelino Moreno 6. Marcich S. 39. Medina A. 21. Mendez A. 17. Morales L. (G) 2. Munoz E. 4. Perez G. 11. Salvio E.
Coaches
Orfila A.	Pellegrino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Torres M. ⚽, Merlo J. (A),
45', Romero L. 🟨,
45+5', Cabrera B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Cabrera B. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
46', Romero L. ↓, Marcich S. ↑,
54', Panaro M. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Canale Dominguez J. ⚽, Marcich S. (A),
59', Briasco N. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Watson F. N. ⚽,
70', Torres M. ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
70', Seoane M. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
70', Merlo J. ↓, Lomonaco S. ↑,
77', Suso G. 🟨,
83', Watson F. N. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
85', Cardozo A. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
89', Perez J. 🟨,
90+1', Ramirez J. ↓, Munoz E. ↑,
90+3', Garayalde N. ↓, Zalazar M. ↑,
90+3', Zalazar M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 2.

Lanús's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gimnasia La Plata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gimnasia La Plata could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Jan Hurtado (Muscle Injury) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Martinez E. (Knee Injury) Melluso M. (Muscle Injury) Silva Torrejon P. (Hand Injury) Sosa A. (Inactive) Torres F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lanús: Carrera R. (Knee Injury) De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Marcelino Moreno (Back Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lanús: Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.08.25	Godoy Cruz - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2 ✺
27.07.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	San Lorenzo - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Instituto Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
11.05.25	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWTLL
- CA Lanús
Copa Sudamericana
14.08.25	Central Córdoba - Lanús	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.25	Lanús - Talleres de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
01.08.25	Lanús - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.07.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Lanús - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.02.25	Lanús - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0
30.09.24	Lanús - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0
15.05.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Lanús	1:0
24.07.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Lanús	1:0
25.08.21	Lanús - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.04.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Lanús	2:4
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.07.19	Lanús - Gimnasia La Plata	1:1

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