Match Info

Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Unico de San Nicolas (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Central Córdoba de Rosario		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.5	3.75	1.44
	6	3.5	1.64
	6.14	3.5	1.57
	6.52	3.43	1.61
	7.5	3.6	1.5
	6.42	3.4	1.58	Watch
	6	3.5	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.44 ↑ (5.96)	3.53 ↓ (3.7)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Córdoba de Rosario
14.4%

Draw
26.3%

Gimnasia La Plata
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

25%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

22.5%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Córdoba de Rosario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Córdoba de Rosario than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Central Córdoba de Rosario - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Central Córdoba will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Central Córdoba (4.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Central Córdoba (4.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Central Córdoba (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gimnasia La Plata will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Córdoba (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colombo I. (G) 2. Killer P. 10. Ramirez T. 6. Yaszczuk M. 4. Dure F. 3. Senra M. 5. Gómez G. 8. Messi J. 7. Cettou J. 11. Marin F. 9. Vranjican P.	23. Insfran N. (G) 15. Pintado J. 4. Morales L. 6. Suso G. 14. Silva Torrejon P. 39. Di Biasi F. 10. De Blasis P. 7. Piedrahita A. 19. Castro L. 8. Merlini B. 9. Jan Hurtado
Substitutes
14. Buzzi S. 17. Carranza L. 22. Di Vanni G. 19. Flores S. 12. Gastaudo F. 21. Manochi L. 16. Mozzi V. 13. Ramirez M. 15. Rovetto V. 18. Sierra S.	30. Castillo R. 28. Corbalan F. 5. Fernandez M. 36. Garayalde N. 20. Giampaoli R. 1. Ingolotti L. (G) 29. Mammini I. 34. Mamut L. 22. Melluso M. 38. Panaro M. 25. Sosa A. 42. Villarreal S.
Coaches
Teglia D.	Flores D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Killer P. 🟨,
18', Silva Torrejon P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Silva Torrejon P. ↓, Melluso M. ↑,
56', Castro L. ↓, Garayalde N. ↑,
56', De Blasis P. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
59', Gómez G. 🟨,
64', Ramirez T. 🟨,
64', Cettou J. 🟨,
68', Marin F. 🟨,
69', Jan Hurtado ↓, Mammini I. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Merlini B. ⚽, Pintado J. (A),
75', Gómez G. ↓, Sierra S. ↑,
75', Dure F. ↓, Rovetto V. ↑,
77', Cettou J. ↓, Di Vanni G. ↑,
83', Merlini B. ↓, Mamut L. ↑,
85', Di Biasi F. 🟨,
89', Melluso M. 🟨,
90', Messi J. ↓, Mozzi V. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Marin F. ⚽, Rovetto V. (A),
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
6, (Pen),

Preview

Neutral location.

Central Córdoba is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gimnasia La Plata is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gimnasia La Plata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gimnasia La Plata is the obvious favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Córdoba de Rosario
Argentinian Primera C
04.05.25	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Puerto Nuevo	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Lugano - Central Córdoba de Rosario	1:3 ✺
23.04.25	Central Córdoba de Rosario - El Porvenir	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Berazategui	4:1 ✺
13.04.25	Ituzaingó - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWW
- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.05.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Platense	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate	0:3 ✺
13.04.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLTL

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