Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Greece	Action 24
Mexico	Fanatiz
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Gimnasia La Plata		Independiente

	1	X	2
	4.2	2.9	2.1	Watch
	3.6	2.95	2.2
	3.95	2.92	2.15
	4.47	3.07	2.08
	3.6	2.9	2.25
	4.18	2.94	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (2.79)	2.95 ↓ (3.16)	2.15 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata
23.7%

Draw
32.2%

Independiente
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

29.8%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	38.5%	53.8%

Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Independiente (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Insfran N. (G) 15. Pintado J. 4. Giampaoli R. 6. Suso G. (C) 14. Silva Torrejon P. 38. Panaro M. 18. Seoane M. 36. Garayalde N. 24. Merlo J. 11. Briasco N. 32. Torres M.	33. Rey R. (C) 29. Godoy L. 26. Lomonaco K. 6. Freire N. 22. Zabala F. 5. Loyola F. 23. Marcone I. 10. Cabral L. 17. Mazzantti W. 9. Avalos G. 7. Montiel S.
Substitutes
19. Castro L. 2. Corbalan F. 30. De Asis J. 5. Di Biasi F. 13. German Conti 1. Ingolotti L. (G) 34. Mamut L. 16. Max A. 20. Perez J. 10. Sosa A. 33. Villalba J. 43. Zalazar M.	1. Blazquez J. (G) 31. Bordon G. 39. de Irastorza J. 8. Galdames P. 11. Mancuello F. 37. Medina J. 14. Millan L. 25. Pussetto I. 28. Taborda E. 27. Tarzia D. 3. Valenzuela M. 4. Vera F.
Coaches
Orfila A.	Vaccari J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Briasco N. 🟨,
13', Freire N. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Suso G. ⚽, Pintado J. (A),
42', Garayalde N. 🟨,
45+2', Godoy L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Giampaoli R. 🟨,
59', Torres M. ↓, Max A. ↑,
59', Marcone I. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
60', Zabala F. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
67', Garayalde N. ↓, De Asis J. ↑,
67', Briasco N. ↓, Mamut L. ↑,
70', Merlo J. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
72', Mazzantti W. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
72', Montiel S. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
80', Pintado J. 🟨,
84', Seoane M. 🟨,
87', Godoy L. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
90+2', De Asis J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1.

Gimnasia La Plata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Independiente could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: German Conti (Inactive) Jan Hurtado (Muscle Injury) Martinez E. (Knee Injury) Melluso M. (Muscle Injury) Merlini B. (Calf Injury) Piedrahita A. (Inactive) Torres F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Inactive) Rodrigo Fernandez (Red Card) Valdez S. (Tendon Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.07.25	San Lorenzo - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Instituto Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
11.05.25	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.05.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Platense	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLWL
- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.07.25	Independiente - Talleres de Córdoba	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente	2:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
29.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.05.25	Independiente - Nacional Potosí	7:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.05.25	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.02.25	Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0
21.11.24	Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.02.24	Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
02.09.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.07.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente	1:1
03.09.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente	3:1
11.10.21	Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata	1:1

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