Match Info

Date: 15 July 2022, Friday


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay		Crucero del Norte

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.2
	2.1	2.9	3.45
	2.14	3	3.25
	2.03	3.13	3.41
	2.13	3.18	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.47)	3.03 ↑ (2.9)	3.32 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
42.9%

Draw
29.9%

Crucero del Norte
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

31.9%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

33.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay's performance.

Crucero del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crucero del Norte than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crucero del Norte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Crucero del Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Esgrima will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Crucero del Norte will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia y Esgrima: 67.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Gimnasia y Esgrima in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Crucero del Norte is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gimnasia y Esgrima will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Gimnasia y Esgrima to win the game is with odds 2.09.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia y Esgrima won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia y Esgrima won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.07.22	Sportivo Las Parejas - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:3 ✺
02.07.22	Atlético Paraná - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:2 ✺
26.06.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
22.06.22	Unión de Sunchales - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:2 ✺
18.06.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWTWW
- Crucero del Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.07.22	Crucero del Norte - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	0:0 ✺
02.07.22	Crucero del Norte - Boca Unidos	0:0 ✺
26.06.22	Juventud Antoniana - Crucero del Norte	2:1 ✺
18.06.22	Crucero del Norte - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:2 ✺
12.06.22	Atlético Paraná - Crucero del Norte	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.04.22	Crucero del Norte - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:0
08.10.21	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Crucero del Norte	1:1
11.07.21	Crucero del Norte - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	3:0
15.03.20	Crucero del Norte - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:1
19.10.19	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Crucero del Norte	1:1

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