Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay		Juventud Antoniana

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.12	2.88	3.31
	2.16	3.42	3.01	Watch
	2.18	2.88	3.45
	2.1	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.59)	3.05 ↑ (2.92)	3.26 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
42.5%

Draw
29.8%

Juventud Antoniana
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

30.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.6%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay's performance.

Juventud Antoniana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud Antoniana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Antoniana than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Juventud Antoniana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
77', 2 - 0, Baltore D. ⚽,
86', 🟥,

Preview

Recent matches Gimnasia y Esgrima is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Juventud Antoniana is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gimnasia y Esgrima won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia y Esgrima won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.08.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:0 ✺
04.08.24	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:1 ✺
28.07.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Douglas Haig	Douglas Haig awarded ✺
21.07.24	Boca Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:1 ✺
14.07.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LW?LT
- Juventud Antoniana
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.08.24	Juventud Antoniana - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
04.08.24	Boca Unidos - Juventud Antoniana	2:0 ✺
28.07.24	Juventud Antoniana - El Linqueño	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Juventud Antoniana - Sol de América de Formosa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.22	Juventud Antoniana - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:0
10.04.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Juventud Antoniana	1:1

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