Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 7

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza		Colón

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	4.5	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.9
	1.99	2.9	4.3	Watch
	1.95	2.92	4.78	Watch
	1.91	3	4.4
	1.89	3	4.54	Watch
	1.99	2.9	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.14)	2.93 ↑ (2.84)	4.39 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
47.3%

Draw
31.6%

Colón
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

32.5%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

30.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petruchi L. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Mondino D. (C) 6. Gonzales 3. Saavedra F. 8. Munoz M. 5. Antonio I. 10. Puch J. 11. Lencioni F. 7. Andrada B. 9. Ferreyra B.	1. Diaz M. (G) 4. Thaller N. 2. Ortiz G. 6. Negro B. 3. Taborda F. 8. Sanchez F. 5. Garrido O. 10. Bernardi C. 11. Gimenez A. 7. Talpone N. 9. Gigliotti E.
Substitutes
16. Antonini F. 18. Bustos L. 13. Calderon E. 17. Gaggi E. 20. Galeano M. 14. Recalde M. 12. San Juan F. (G) 19. Servetto N. 15. Torres F.	18. Barreto J. 13. Bettini G. 19. Castet F. 20. Fernandez N. 15. Jourdan F. 12. Paredes T. (G) 17. Rossi G. 16. Sonora J. 14. Yunis Z.
Coaches
Medran E.	Pereyra A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Thaller N. ↓, Castet F. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, Puch J. ⚽,
59', Castet F. 🟨,
61', Gimenez A. ↓, Jourdan F. ↑,
61', Taborda F. ↓, Barreto J. ↑,
64', Puch J. 🟨,
67', Andrada B. ↓, Gaggi E. ↑,
67', Puch J. ↓, Galeano M. ↑,
73', Bernardi C. 🟨,
76', Lencioni F. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Barreto J. ⚽,
80', Garrido O. ↓, Yunis Z. ↑,
80', Gigliotti E. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
87', Ferreyra B. ↓, Servetto N. ↑,

Preview

Gimnasia Mendoza in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Colón is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Colón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gimnasia Mendoza will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Mendoza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia Mendoza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.03.25	Temperley - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Defensores Unidos	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Deportivo Morón	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWTWW
- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.03.25	Colón - Central Norte	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Almirante Brown - Colón	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Colón - Chaco For Ever	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Mitre - Colón	0:1 ✺
17.02.25	Colón - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.08.24	Colón - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0
30.03.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Colón	2:0

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